Sinister Order Pack EV & Pull Rates — Rip or Skip?

Right now: the best rip in Sinister Order is the Booster Box at $58.27 against $324.77 of expected pulls — a +374% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Sinister Order released September 19, 2025, into a soft sealed market — and cheap boxes are the whole story of its EV. The set follows the standard Digimon Card Game structure: 12-card packs with one guaranteed rare and one hit slot, which community estimates fill with a Super Rare about 70% of the time, a Secret Rare roughly once in five packs, and an alternate-art Special once in ten.

Because box prices sank while the Secret Rare and alt-art tier held value, ripping has run comfortably ahead of break-even at recent prices — the box far more than loose packs. A 24-pack box should surface four or five Secret Rares and two or three Specials; those hits, not the sixteen-odd Super Rares around them, decide whether your particular box pays.

As always with this game, treat the odds as solid estimates rather than gospel — Bandai publishes nothing official. The tables below carry live pack and box EV against current TCGPlayer prices, refreshed every two hours, along with the top cards driving those numbers.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack +132% $4.96 $13.53
Booster Box +374% $58.27 $324.77

Pull-rate model

Sinister Order packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Hit slotSuper Rare70%
Hit slotSecret Rare20%
Hit slotSpecial10%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in a Sinister Order booster box?

24 packs of 12 cards, each with a guaranteed rare and one hit-slot card of Super Rare quality or better.

How many Secret Rares come in a box of Sinister Order?

Community estimates suggest four or five per 24-pack box on average, plus two or three alternate-art Specials — but it varies box to box.

Are these Sinister Order pull rates official?

No. Bandai doesn't publish pull rates; the figures here are community estimates from aggregated box openings.

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