Pokémon Pack EV & Pull Rates — Every Set Ranked

This is the ranking that answers the only question that matters before you rip: how much of a pack's price do the cards actually give back? Every Pokémon set we track is listed below, ordered by margin — expected value per pack, computed from live TCGPlayer prices with a roughly 15% haircut for selling fees, measured against what sealed currently costs. Prices refresh every 2 hours, so the order you see reflects the market as of today, not last year's hype.

Fair warning before you scroll: almost everything here is negative. That's not pessimism, it's arithmetic — sealed Pokémon carries a collector premium that singles prices rarely justify, and the gap only widens on nostalgic sets. Each set page breaks down the full picture: slot-by-slot pull-rate estimates, every tracked product from loose packs to Ultra-Premium Collections, and a straight answer on whether to rip, hold or just buy the cards you want.

#SetFee-adj. marginBest productReleased
1White Flare+430%Booster Bundle2025
2Black Bolt+375%Booster Bundle2025
3Paldean Fates+63%Booster Pack2024
4Perfect Order+19%Booster Box (36 packs)2026
5Chaos Rising+18%Booster Box (36 packs)2026
6Phantasmal Flames−11%Booster Pack2025
7Mega Evolution−15%Booster Pack2025
8Surging Sparks−29%Booster Box (36 packs)2024
9Scarlet & Violet−31%Booster Box (36 packs)2023
10Destined Rivals−32%Booster Pack2025
11Temporal Forces−35%Booster Box (36 packs)2024
12Battle Styles−37%Booster Box (36 packs)2021
13Prismatic Evolutions−37%Booster Pack2025
14Twilight Masquerade−39%Booster Pack2024
15Journey Together−43%Booster Pack2025
16Crown Zenith−44%Booster Pack2023
17Shrouded Fable−46%Booster Bundle2024
18Paradox Rift−50%Booster Box (36 packs)2023
19Stellar Crown−51%Booster Box (36 packs)2024
20Pokémon GO−52%Booster Pack2022
21Ascended Heroes−55%Booster Bundle2026
22Chilling Reign−56%Booster Pack2021
23Paldea Evolved−57%Booster Box (36 packs)2023
24Sword & Shield−58%Booster Pack2020
25151−61%Booster Pack2023
26Silver Tempest−63%Build & Battle Box2022
27Obsidian Flames−64%Booster Box (36 packs)2023
28Crimson Invasion−65%Booster Box (36 packs)2017
29Rebel Clash−66%Booster Pack2020
30Astral Radiance−68%Booster Pack2022
31Lost Thunder−70%Booster Box (36 packs)2018
32Brilliant Stars−70%Build & Battle Box2022
33Vivid Voltage−71%Booster Box (36 packs)2020
34Darkness Ablaze−72%Booster Pack2020
35Unbroken Bonds−72%Booster Pack2019
36Forbidden Light−73%Booster Pack2018
37Lost Origin−73%Booster Pack2022
38Hidden Fates−74%Booster Pack2019
39Shining Fates−74%Booster Pack2021
40Fusion Strike−74%Booster Pack2021
41Evolving Skies−75%Booster Pack2021
42Ultra Prism−76%Booster Box (36 packs)2018
43Cosmic Eclipse−77%Booster Pack2019
44Unified Minds−79%Booster Pack2019
45Champion's Path−81%Booster Pack2020
46Sun & Moon−82%Booster Pack2017
47Celestial Storm−82%Booster Pack2018
48Shining Legends−85%Elite Trainer Box2017
49Guardians Rising−85%Booster Pack2017
50Burning Shadows−86%Booster Pack2017
51Team Up−86%Booster Pack2019
52Dragon Majesty−87%Booster Pack2018
53Celebrations−88%Booster Pack2021

Rankings move with the market — figures refresh every two hours from TCGPlayer data. Click any set for its pull-rate model and product-by-product breakdown.

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FAQ

How does Worth the Rip calculate Pokémon pack EV?

We model each set's pack slot by slot: every rarity tier gets a community-estimated pull rate, multiplied by the current TCGPlayer market price of the cards in that tier, and summed across all slots. That gives expected value per pack; multiply by pack count for boxes and bundles.

Why do you subtract about 15% from card values?

Because a card's market price isn't what you'd pocket. Selling raw singles costs marketplace fees and shipping, so we apply a haircut of roughly 15% to reflect realistic net proceeds rather than sticker prices.

How current are the prices on these pages?

Prices refresh from TCGPlayer every 2 hours. The editorial copy is static, but every EV figure, margin and product table you see reflects the most recent snapshot.

Are the pull rates official?

No. The Pokémon Company has never published pull rates for any set. All rates here are community estimates aggregated from large recorded opening samples — good approximations, but approximations.

If a pack shows positive EV, does that mean I'll profit by opening it?

No. EV is an average across thousands of hypothetical packs; a small stack of real ones is dominated by variance, and most of the time you'll pull below the mean. EV is a comparison tool for judging products against each other and against buying singles — not a profit forecast. Most sealed product is negative EV at current prices.