Magic: The Gathering Pack EV — Every Set Ranked

This page ranks every Magic: The Gathering set in our tracker by margin — expected value per pack against what that pack costs right now, using TCGPlayer prices refreshed every two hours. The pattern the rankings reveal is consistent: nearly every Play Booster is negative EV at retail, Collector Boosters are worse per dollar almost without exception, and the interesting differences live in how badly each set loses.

A few things move a set up this list: a low sealed price meeting steady singles demand, a deep rare pool instead of value concentrated in one bonus sheet, and reprint-heavy premium sets where tournament staples prop up the average pull. Universes Beyond crossovers usually rank worse than their hype suggests because the pack premium outruns the singles. Click any set for its full breakdown — slot odds, product comparisons, and the live gap between price and EV.

#SetFee-adj. marginBest productReleased
1Kaldheim−34%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2021
2The Hobbit−35%Play Booster Box (36 packs)2026
3Modern Horizons 2−35%Draft Booster Pack2021
4March of the Machine−35%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2023
5Zendikar Rising−35%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2020
6Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles−37%Play Booster Box (36 packs)2026
7Murders at Karlov Manor−38%Booster Pack2024
8Aetherdrift−39%Bundle2025
9Theros Beyond Death−39%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2020
10Streets of New Capenna−40%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2022
11Avatar: The Last Airbender−42%Booster Pack2025
12Edge of Eternities−42%Booster Pack2025
13Lorwyn Eclipsed−42%Booster Pack2026
14Ravnica Remastered−44%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2024
15Marvel's Spider-Man−45%Booster Pack2025
16Core Set 2021−45%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2020
17Marvel Super Heroes−46%Bundle2026
18Modern Horizons 3−46%Booster Pack2024
19Tarkir: Dragonstorm−46%Booster Pack2025
20The Lost Caverns of Ixalan−48%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2023
21Duskmourn: House of Horror−49%Booster Pack2024
22Innistrad Remastered−49%Play Booster Pack2025
23Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty−50%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2022
24The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth−52%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2023
25Innistrad: Crimson Vow−53%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2021
26Dominaria United−54%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2022
27Bloomburrow−57%Booster Pack2024
28Innistrad: Midnight Hunt−59%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2021
29Secrets of Strixhaven−60%Booster Pack2026
30Final Fantasy−60%Booster Pack2025
31Phyrexia: All Will Be One−60%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2023
32Throne of Eldraine−60%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2019
33Adventures in the Forgotten Realms−60%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2021
34Outlaws of Thunder Junction−61%Booster Pack2024
35The Brothers' War−63%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2022
36Foundations−65%Booster Pack2024
37Strixhaven: School of Mages−73%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2021
38Wilds of Eldraine−77%Draft Booster Box (36 packs)2023

Rankings move with the market — figures refresh every two hours from TCGPlayer data. Click any set for its pull-rate model and product-by-product breakdown.

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FAQ

How is Magic pack EV calculated on Worth the Rip?

We model each Play Booster's slots — the guaranteed rare-or-mythic and the foil slot — and multiply each outcome's probability by the average TCGPlayer market price of cards at that rarity in the set. Summing the slots gives expected value per pack, which we compare against live sealed prices.

Why do you apply a fee haircut to card values?

Because you can't sell a pull for its sticker price. Marketplace fees, payment processing and shipping typically eat around 15% of a card's market value, so our EV figures discount accordingly to reflect what a seller actually keeps.

How often are the prices on these pages updated?

Every two hours. Both the singles prices that feed the EV model and the sealed product prices used for margins come from live TCGPlayer data, so the numbers you see reflect the current market, not a stale snapshot.

Are the Magic pull rates on this site official?

No. Wizards of the Coast doesn't publish complete odds for its boosters. Our slot rates are community estimates for the standard Play Booster structure, and premium variants like Showcase, Borderless and Foil-Etched cards aren't individually modeled.

If a set shows positive EV, does that mean ripping packs is profitable?

Not reliably. EV is an average over thousands of packs — a single box can land far below it, most pulls are illiquid bulk, and selling takes time and fees. Positive EV makes ripping less costly, but it isn't a promise of profit, and most Magic product at retail is negative EV.