Right now: the best rip in Outsiders is the Booster Box (24 packs) at $76.79 against $393.89 of expected pulls — a +336% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 95% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Outsiders is a Flesh and Blood set released 2023-03-24. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Booster pack with a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot (Legendary, Marvel and Fabled are the roughly 1-in-30-and-rarer chases) and a cold-foil slot; 24 packs per box. Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +40% | $9.98 | $16.41 | 16% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) | +336% | $76.79 | $393.89 | 95% |
Pull-rate model
Outsiders packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Majestic slot | Majestic | 93% |
| Majestic slot | Marvel | 4% |
| Majestic slot | Legendary | 2.5% |
| Majestic slot | Fabled | 0.5% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Common | 80% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Rare | 18% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Majestic | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) of Outsiders pays for itself?
About 95% after ~15% selling fees (98% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Outsiders pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) returns $224.51 of cards after fees against its $76.79 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 69%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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