Usurp the Shadow Throne Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Presale — not ranked yet. Usurp the Shadow Throne releases 2026-09-25. Singles aren't listed yet, so both sealed and card prices are speculative until release, which is why the set is missing from the hubs, leaderboard and statistics. Treat the figures below as a placeholder that firms up in the weeks after launch.

Right now: the best rip in Usurp the Shadow Throne is the Booster Box (24 packs) at $118.65 against $124.68 of expected pulls — a −11% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Usurp the Shadow Throne is a Flesh and Blood set released 2026-09-25. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

Releases 2026-09-25 — sealed prices are presales and still settling. Booster pack with a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot (Legendary, Marvel and Fabled are the roughly 1-in-30-and-rarer chases) and a cold-foil slot; 24 packs per box. Pull rates are community estimates.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −26% $6.00 $5.20
Booster Box (24 packs) −11% $118.65 $124.68

Pull-rate model

Usurp the Shadow Throne packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Majestic slotMajestic93%
Majestic slotMarvel4%
Majestic slotLegendary2.5%
Majestic slotFabled0.5%
Cold-foil slotCold-Foil Common80%
Cold-foil slotCold-Foil Rare18%
Cold-foil slotCold-Foil Majestic2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

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