Awakening of the New Era (OP05) Pack EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Awakening of the New Era (OP05) is the Booster Pack at $28.39 against $1.95 of expected pulls — a −94% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Awakening of the New Era (OP05) released December 8, 2023, and it owns the most famous chase card in the One Piece TCG: the Gear 5 Monkey.D.Luffy Secret Rare. The set carries seven SECs and no Treasure Rare tier, with the hit slot landing a Secret Rare about 6% of the time per community estimates. Split evenly, that puts any single SEC — including the Luffy — somewhere past 1 in 100 packs.

Here's the uncomfortable math: because one card carries such a disproportionate share of the set's value, ripping OP05 is closer to a raffle than a value play. Sealed trades far above its original MSRP on the strength of that raffle, and the average box comes nowhere near paying for itself — the live table below shows the current damage. If you want Gear 5 Luffy, price the single first. It'll sting less than the boxes will.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −94% $28.39 $1.95
Booster Box (24 packs) −97% $1180.87 $46.79
Sleeved Booster Pack −98% $70.45 $1.95

Pull-rate model

Awakening of the New Era (OP05) packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare (R)80%
Rare slotSuper Rare (SR)20%
Hit slotRare (R) baseline14%
Hit slotSuper Rare (SR)55%
Hit slotLeader (L)25%
Hit slotSecret Rare (SEC)6%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many Secret Rares are in Awakening of the New Era (OP05)?

Seven, with the Gear 5 Monkey.D.Luffy as the headline chase. The set predates the Treasure Rare tier.

What are the odds of pulling the Gear 5 Luffy SEC?

The hit slot lands a Secret Rare about 6% of the time (community estimate); with seven SECs in the pool, any specific one works out past 1 in 100 packs if evenly weighted.

How many packs come in an OP05 booster box?

24 packs, each with 12 cards.

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