Right now: the best rip in Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $48.69 against $103.10 of expected pulls — a +80% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 84% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus is a Weiss Schwarz booster scheduled for October 23, 2026: nine cards per pack, sixteen packs per box, one Rare-or-better slot and one foil hit slot. It's a presale. Only the booster box carries a price, and that's a presale figure still settling; no singles are listed, so the EV on this page is a placeholder rather than a verdict.
The model is the standard Weiss Schwarz hit slot: a foil Rare over half the time, a Super Rare a quarter, a Triple Rare or better about one pack in five, a Special Rare near 1 in 17, a Super-Special around 1 in 50. Which cards will fill those tiers isn't known yet, so no chase cards can be named until the list is priced.
The booster box is the only market-priced product; the loose pack figure is derived from it. With no priced singles, the live EV reads deeply negative against a presale box — an artifact of an empty card list, not a judgment on the set. The earlier Rascal Does Not Dream Series page makes a useful reference point. Rates are community estimates; signed and serial cards aren't modeled.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −12% | $6.25 | $6.44 | 24% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | +80% | $48.69 | $103.10 | 84% |
Pull-rate model
Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
When does Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus release?
October 23, 2026, per the current schedule. Until then the box price is a presale, the card list isn't priced, and the EV shown here is provisional; it will move as singles appear on the market.
How many packs are in a Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus booster box?
Sixteen packs of nine cards each, the standard Weiss Schwarz box. It's the only product priced so far; the loose pack row is derived from the box price rather than listed on its own.
Why is the Rascal Santa Claus EV so low?
Because no singles are listed yet. Pack EV is built from priced cards weighted by slot odds; with no card list priced, the figure shown is a placeholder. It refreshes automatically once market prices for the cards arrive.
What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus pays for itself?
About 84% after ~15% selling fees (92% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $82.91 of cards after fees against its $48.69 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 35%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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