Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Presale — not ranked yet. Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus releases 2026-10-23. Singles aren't listed yet, so both sealed and card prices are speculative until release, which is why the set is missing from the hubs, leaderboard and statistics. Treat the figures below as a placeholder that firms up in the weeks after launch.

Right now: the best rip in Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $99.99 against $38.32 of expected pulls — a −67% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus is a Weiss Schwarz set released 2026-10-23. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

Releases 2026-10-23 — sealed prices are presales and still settling. 9-card pack, 16 packs per box: most packs carry a Rare plus a foil, with RRR and rarer tiers landing about 1 in 8–10 packs. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Only the box is priced so far and singles aren't listed.Pull rates are community estimates. TCGPlayer hasn't priced every SKU yet (Booster Pack price estimated from the Booster Box (16 packs)); the refresh Action swaps in market prices as they appear.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −67% $6.25 $2.40
Booster Box (16 packs) −67% $99.99 $38.32

Pull-rate model

Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotCommon50%
Rare slotUncommon30%
Rare slotRare20%
Hit slotRare (foil)55%
Hit slotSuper Rare25%
Hit slotTriple Rare (RRR)12%
Hit slotSpecial Rare6%
Hit slotSuper-Special2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

🎴 Rip a Rascal Does Not Dream of Santa Claus pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →