Chaos Origins Booster Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Chaos Origins is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $78.32 against $118.92 of expected pulls — a +29% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Chaos Origins hit shelves July 3, 2026 — days ago, as of this writing — which makes it the newest core booster in the game and the one with the least settled prices. Fresh sets are always volatile: singles start high and bleed, and sealed usually follows. Treat every number on this page as a moving target for the first few weeks.

The structure underneath is stable, at least. Nine cards per pack, one guaranteed foil hit, 24 packs per 1st Edition box, and community-estimated foil-slot odds in line with every recent core set: Secret Rares near 1 in 14 packs and the premium Starlight-class tier around 1 in 100.

Early-window ripping is a specific gamble — you're paying launch pricing for singles that historically decline, but you're also selling into the deepest demand the set will ever have. The tables below refresh every couple of hours, which matters more for this set than for anything else on the site.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack [1st Ed] −2% $4.28 $4.96
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) +29% $78.32 $118.92

Pull-rate model

Chaos Origins packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Foil hit slotSuper Rare65%
Foil hit slotUltra Rare27%
Foil hit slotSecret Rare7%
Foil hit slotStarlight / QC Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

When did Chaos Origins release?

July 3, 2026 in the TCG. Because the set is only days old, both singles and sealed prices are still settling, so EV figures can swing noticeably between refreshes.

What's in a Chaos Origins booster pack?

Nine cards with about one guaranteed foil hit. Community estimates for the foil slot: mostly Super and Ultra Rares, Secret Rares near 1 in 14 packs, and a Starlight-class hit around 1 in 100.

How many packs come in a Chaos Origins booster box?

24 packs in the 1st Edition booster box, which is the print run this page tracks.

🎴 Rip a Chaos Origins pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →