Right now: the best rip in March of the Machine is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $188.60 against $132.77 of expected pulls — a −40% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
March of the Machine (April 14, 2023) is a Draft Booster-era Standard set: 15 cards per pack, one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired in 2024, so supply is fixed. Sealed has stayed cheap enough that the rip margin, while negative, has recently modeled among the narrower ones.
Unusually, the chase is a rare: Etali, Primal Conqueror, in regular and Showcase art, with Surrak and Goreclaw beside it. The mythic tier, Sheoldred and Urabrask, prices below those rares. Mythics take roughly one rare slot in 7.4. The serial-numbered Sheoldred atop the price list is a Collector Booster card, not a Draft Booster pull, and the Multiverse Legends bonus sheet isn't modeled as a separate slot.
Loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked; Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation, with card odds spread across the set's rarity counts. Because value here sits in rares rather than a single mythic, a box's return is steadier than usual, and the live table below says how far it falls short after fees.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −49% | $6.18 | $3.69 | 18% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −40% | $188.60 | $132.77 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
March of the Machine packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a March of the Machine booster box?
A Draft Booster Box holds 36 Draft Boosters of 15 cards each. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters came in their own boxes with different contents; this page models the Draft Booster only.
What are the chase cards in March of the Machine?
Etali, Primal Conqueror and Surrak and Goreclaw, both rares, lead what a Draft Booster can deliver, with the mythics Sheoldred and Urabrask next. The serial-numbered Sheoldred at the top of the price list is a Collector Booster exclusive.
Does the March of the Machine model include Multiverse Legends?
No. The model tracks the rare-or-mythic slot and the foil slot only; the Multiverse Legends bonus sheet that appears in Draft Boosters isn't modeled as a separate slot, so the live EV is conservative on that front.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of March of the Machine pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (4% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the March of the Machine pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $111.06 of cards after fees against its $188.60 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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