Right now: the best rip in Wilds of Eldraine is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $321.99 against $80.76 of expected pulls — a −79% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Wilds of Eldraine, the Standard Magic set released September 8, 2023, shipped in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare-or-mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired with Play Boosters in 2024, so supply is fixed, and sealed here has priced unusually far above the card pool even by draft-era standards.
The model is the published Draft Booster collation: a mythic in about one rare slot in 7.4, a rare foil near 1 in 33 packs and a mythic foil around 1 in 200. Agatha's Soul Cauldron leads the list, with Beseech the Mirror, Moonshaker Cavalry, Blossoming Tortoise, Talion, the Kindly Lord and Hylda of the Icy Crown behind it. The top is thin: one strong mythic and some playables.
Two products are tracked: the loose Draft Booster and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, and several of the priciest listings are Extended Art versions, a Collector Booster treatment. Expect deeply negative margins on both products; the box does not rescue the pack here. The live table below shows the current numbers.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −83% | $11.39 | $2.24 | 1% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −79% | $321.99 | $80.76 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Wilds of Eldraine packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Wilds of Eldraine Draft Booster Box?
36 Draft Boosters of 15 cards each: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. The table covers that box and the loose pack only.
What are the chase cards in Wilds of Eldraine?
Agatha's Soul Cauldron, clearly, in both regular and Extended Art printings. Beseech the Mirror is next, then Moonshaker Cavalry, Blossoming Tortoise, Talion, the Kindly Lord and Hylda of the Icy Crown, all mythics and mostly valued in their Extended Art or Borderless versions.
What's the difference between Wilds of Eldraine Draft and Set Boosters?
Draft Boosters are the 15-card, fixed-collation packs modeled on this page. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were built for opening rather than drafting, with different contents and premium treatments, and neither is modeled here.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Wilds of Eldraine pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Wilds of Eldraine pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $63.07 of cards after fees against its $321.99 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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