Right now: the best rip in Marvel's Spider-Man is the Booster Pack at $5.24 against $3.05 of expected pulls — a −51% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 8% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Marvel's Spider-Man (September 26, 2025) kicked off Magic's Marvel run as a compact Universes Beyond set, with borderless comic-cover variants as the unambiguous chase tier. Unusually for a crossover, its Play Boosters have priced close to ordinary Standard product — which makes its EV math some of the least punishing in our MTG tracker.
Least punishing still means negative. Each roughly 14-card pack gives you one rare or mythic (mythic about 1 in 7 packs) and one foil of any rarity, with rare-or-better foils around 1 in 8 — community estimates, with the comic-cover treatments sitting outside the base model. A small set plus concentrated character demand means a handful of cards do all the lifting.
If you're set on ripping a Universes Beyond product, the numbers here have generally been kinder than the Final Fantasy-style premium sets. The live tables below show today's pack, Collector Booster and Bundle spread.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −51% | $5.24 | $3.05 | 8% |
| Collector Booster Pack | −94% | $42.31 | $3.05 | 1% |
| Bundle | −65% | $66.25 | $27.45 | 10% |
Pull-rate model
Marvel's Spider-Man packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 85% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 15% |
| Foil slot | Common Foil | 62% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon Foil | 25% |
| Foil slot | Rare Foil | 10% |
| Foil slot | Mythic Foil | 3% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Marvel's Spider-Man?
Borderless comic-cover variants of the set's characters are the top tier, ahead of standard foil mythics. They fall outside the base slot model, so pulls are rare.
Is Marvel's Spider-Man a full-size Magic set?
It's a compact Universes Beyond release with the standard Play Booster structure — about 14 cards per pack with one rare-or-mythic and one foil slot.
What products can I compare on this page?
Play Booster packs, Collector Booster packs, and the 9-pack Bundle, each with live prices and margins. Collector Booster EV isn't modeled separately.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Marvel's Spider-Man pays for itself?
About 8% after ~15% selling fees (9% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Marvel's Spider-Man pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $1.12 of cards after fees against its $5.24 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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