Marvel's Spider-Man MTG Pack EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Marvel's Spider-Man is the Booster Pack at $5.62 against $3.64 of expected pulls — a −45% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 8% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Marvel's Spider-Man (September 26, 2025) kicked off Magic's Marvel run as a compact Universes Beyond set, with borderless comic-cover variants as the unambiguous chase tier. Unusually for a crossover, its Play Boosters have priced close to ordinary Standard product — which makes its EV math some of the least punishing in our MTG tracker.

Least punishing still means negative. Each roughly 14-card pack gives you one rare or mythic (mythic about 1 in 7 packs) and one foil of any rarity, with rare-or-better foils around 1 in 8 — community estimates, with the comic-cover treatments sitting outside the base model. A small set plus concentrated character demand means a handful of cards do all the lifting.

If you're set on ripping a Universes Beyond product, the numbers here have generally been kinder than the Final Fantasy-style premium sets. The live tables below show today's pack, Collector Booster and Bundle spread.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −45% $5.62 $3.64 8%
Collector Booster Pack −93% $43.72 $3.64 1%
Bundle −54% $60.41 $32.74 10%

Pull-rate model

Marvel's Spider-Man packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare85%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic15%
Foil slotCommon Foil62%
Foil slotUncommon Foil25%
Foil slotRare Foil10%
Foil slotMythic Foil3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in Marvel's Spider-Man?

Borderless comic-cover variants of the set's characters are the top tier, ahead of standard foil mythics. They fall outside the base slot model, so pulls are rare.

Is Marvel's Spider-Man a full-size Magic set?

It's a compact Universes Beyond release with the standard Play Booster structure — about 14 cards per pack with one rare-or-mythic and one foil slot.

What products can I compare on this page?

Play Booster packs, Collector Booster packs, and the 9-pack Bundle, each with live prices and margins. Collector Booster EV isn't modeled separately.

What are the odds a Booster Pack of Marvel's Spider-Man pays for itself?

About 8% after ~15% selling fees (12% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Marvel's Spider-Man pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $1.27 of cards after fees against its $5.62 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 2%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

🎴 Rip a Marvel's Spider-Man pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →