Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles is the Play Booster Box (36 packs) at $114.67 against $84.60 of expected pulls — a −37% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles is a Magic: The Gathering set released 2026-03-06. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

Play Booster (14 cards): a rare-or-mythic slot plus a foil, with wildcard slots that can add more. Collector Boosters are listed for price tracking but modeled with the Play Booster pack — their value sits in serialized and extended-art variants the model doesn't capture. Pull rates follow the published Play Booster collation.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Play Booster Pack −56% $4.58 $2.35 5%
Play Booster Box (36 packs) −37% $114.67 $84.60 1%
Collector Booster Pack −95% $39.30 $2.35 0%
Bundle (9 Play Boosters) −62% $47.43 $21.15 1%

Pull-rate model

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare85%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic15%
Foil slotCommon Foil62%
Foil slotUncommon Foil25%
Foil slotRare Foil10%
Foil slotMythic Foil3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the odds a Play Booster Box (36 packs) of Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles pays for itself?

About 1% after ~15% selling fees (7% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles pack model rather than a simulation. The median Play Booster Box (36 packs) returns $69.80 of cards after fees against its $114.67 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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