Right now: the best rip in Destined Rivals is the Booster Pack at $9.02 against $6.83 of expected pulls — a −36% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 9% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Destined Rivals brought Team Rocket back on May 30, 2025 and became the most-hunted Scarlet & Violet set since 151. That demand cuts both ways: chases like Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex and Ethan's Ho-Oh ex in Special Illustration Rare form hold serious value, but sealed prices have carried a hype premium the EV hasn't covered — every product has recently modeled at a loss.
The odds are standard SV: a ten-card pack with a guaranteed reverse holo, a rare slot that's a Double Rare about 30% of the time, an Ultra Rare 1 in 10, and an ACE SPEC 1 in 20. The hit slot pays an Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9 packs, a Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 33, and a gold Hyper Rare near 1 in 83 — community estimates, not official numbers.
The full product spread exists: loose packs, 9-pack ETB, 6-pack bundle, 4-pack Build & Battle, 36-pack booster box. If you want the Rocket SIRs, the live table below will usually tell you what it's told us: buy the singles.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −36% | $9.02 | $6.83 | 9% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −55% | $115.97 | $61.49 | 9% |
| Booster Bundle | −50% | $69.02 | $40.99 | 10% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −52% | $434.74 | $245.95 | 11% |
| Build & Battle Box | −66% | $67.40 | $27.33 | 6% |
Pull-rate model
Destined Rivals packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare | 55% |
| Holo Rare slot | Double Rare | 30% |
| Holo Rare slot | Ultra Rare | 10% |
| Holo Rare slot | ACE SPEC Rare | 5% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.8% |
| Hit slot | Illustration Rare | 11% |
| Hit slot | Special Illustration Rare | 3% |
| Hit slot | Hyper Rare (Gold) | 1.2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Destined Rivals booster box?
36 packs of 10 cards. The Elite Trainer Box holds 9 packs, the Booster Bundle 6 and the Build & Battle Box 4.
What is the chase tier in Destined Rivals?
Special Illustration Rares — headlined by cards like Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex and Ethan's Ho-Oh ex — at about 1 in 33 packs by community estimates, with gold Hyper Rares near 1 in 83.
Are Destined Rivals pull rates official?
No. All rates shown are community estimates compiled from opening data; The Pokémon Company publishes no official pull rates.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Destined Rivals pays for itself?
About 9% after ~15% selling fees (10% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Destined Rivals pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $1.34 of cards after fees against its $9.02 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 6%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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