Right now: the best rip in Dengeki Bunko is the Booster Pack at $3.64 against $13.40 of expected pulls — a +213% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 18% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Dengeki Bunko (October 25, 2024) is a Weiss Schwarz crossover booster whose card list spans several light novel series: nine cards per pack, sixteen packs per box, one Rare-or-better slot and one foil hit slot. Its sealed character is broad rather than tall — a very large Super Rare pool, only two Special Rares, and a margin that has modeled modestly positive after fees.
The hit slot pays a foil Rare over half the time, a Super Rare a quarter, a Triple Rare or better about one pack in five, a Special Rare near 1 in 17. "Flower That Blooms After Rain" Tomoka (SP) leads; Human and Two-Wheeler, Kino & Hermes (SP) follows, with the Anniversary Triple Rares for Alice, Mai and LLENN and Animal Fur Suits, Chiyuri & Kuroyukihime (SR) behind.
Loose packs and the 16-pack booster box are both tracked, though the pack price is currently estimated from the box until TCGplayer lists it separately. With value spread across dozens of Super Rares rather than one card, the probability-of-profit column should sit closer to the margin than usual. Rates are community estimates; signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Live figures below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +213% | $3.64 | $13.40 | 18% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | +87% | $97.24 | $214.40 | 54% |
Pull-rate model
Dengeki Bunko packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Dengeki Bunko Weiss Schwarz?
The two Special Rares lead — "Flower That Blooms After Rain" Tomoka and Human and Two-Wheeler, Kino & Hermes — followed by Animal Fur Suits, Chiyuri & Kuroyukihime (SR) and the Anniversary Triple Rare cycle featuring Alice, Mai and LLENN.
How many packs are in a Dengeki Bunko booster box?
Sixteen packs of nine cards. Loose packs are listed too, but their price is derived from the box until a separate market price appears, so the pack and box margins currently track each other.
Are Dengeki Bunko pull rates official?
No. The hit-slot odds are community estimates for a standard Weiss Schwarz booster; Bushiroad doesn't publish rates. Signed and serial-numbered variants are excluded from the model.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Dengeki Bunko pays for itself?
About 18% after ~15% selling fees (20% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Dengeki Bunko pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $0.80 of cards after fees against its $3.64 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 15%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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