[OSHI NO KO] Weiss Schwarz Pack EV — Rip or Skip?

Right now: the best rip in [OSHI NO KO] is the Booster Pack at $4.33 against $14.24 of expected pulls — a +179% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 13% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

The first [OSHI NO KO] Weiss Schwarz set released September 20, 2024, riding one of the biggest anime debuts of the decade. Like every Weiss set built on a hot license, it's a lottery wearing a card game's clothes: voice-actress-signed SP cards of the lead characters account for most of what a box is worth.

Our community model gives each pack's hit slot a 12% shot at a Triple Rare, 6% at a Special Rare and 2% at a Super-Special. Spread over a sixteen-pack box, that's about two RRRs, one SP, and a top-end pull every third box on average. The remaining eight cards per pack are mostly filler — even the rare slot comes up common half the time.

So the EV question isn't whether the average rip loses — it does, at both pack and box level — it's by how much, and the live table below keeps that answer current. If you're after one specific signed card, price the single before you buy a single pack.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack +179% $4.33 $14.24 13%
Booster Box +145% $79.02 $227.78 73%

Pull-rate model

[OSHI NO KO] packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotCommon50%
Rare slotUncommon30%
Rare slotRare20%
Hit slotRare (foil)55%
Hit slotSuper Rare25%
Hit slotTriple Rare (RRR)12%
Hit slotSpecial Rare6%
Hit slotSuper-Special2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What's the chase in [OSHI NO KO] Weiss Schwarz?

Voice-actress-signed SP cards of the lead characters, plus Triple Rare (RRR) and Super-Special variants. The signed cards account for most of a box's potential value.

How many packs are in an [OSHI NO KO] booster box?

Sixteen packs of nine cards each, with one hit slot per pack. We track both loose packs and sealed boxes for this set.

Is there a second [OSHI NO KO] set?

Yes — [OSHI NO KO] Vol.2 released in March 2026 as a separate booster with its own card list. We track it on its own page with its own EV numbers.

What are the odds a Booster Pack of [OSHI NO KO] pays for itself?

About 13% after ~15% selling fees (16% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the [OSHI NO KO] pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $0.71 of cards after fees against its $4.33 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 11%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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