Right now: the best rip in hololive production is the Booster Box at $72.90 against $161.63 of expected pulls — a +88% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
hololive production did more for English Weiss Schwarz than any license before it. When it hit shelves in May 2022, the VTuber agency's fanbase — much of it new to the game entirely — bought it out for one reason: autographs. The top of this set isn't tournament staples, it's cards hand-signed by the hololive talents themselves, sitting in the Super-Special tier.
The structure is standard Weiss: nine cards per pack, sixteen packs per box, one hit slot per pack. Our community-estimated model puts a Triple Rare in roughly one pack in eight, a Special Rare near one in seventeen, and a signed Super-Special once every fifty packs — call it one signature every three boxes. Nearly everything below that tier is bulk.
That concentration is what wrecks the average. Box EV rests almost entirely on cards you probably won't pull, so the mean return lands well under the box price and the median box does worse than the mean. We track the sixteen-pack booster box for this set; the live table below shows today's gap. Ripping one is buying lottery tickets that happen to come with cardboard.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Box | +88% | $72.90 | $161.63 |
Pull-rate model
hololive production packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a hololive production Weiss Schwarz booster box?
Sixteen packs, each with nine cards. Every pack carries one hit slot that ranges from a foil Rare up to Triple Rare, Special Rare and signed Super-Special pulls.
What are the chase cards in hololive production?
Signed Super-Special (SSP) cards autographed by hololive talents are the top chase, followed by Special Rares and Triple Rares (RRR). The signatures carry most of a box's potential value.
Are the hololive production pull rates official?
No. Bushiroad doesn't publish Weiss Schwarz pull rates, and they vary noticeably between licenses. Our model is a community estimate — treat the odds as ballpark, not gospel.
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