Rascal Does Not Dream Series Weiss Schwarz Pack EV & Odds

Right now: the best rip in Rascal Does Not Dream Series is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $47.59 against $87.28 of expected pulls — a +56% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 66% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Rascal Does Not Dream Series (March 28, 2025) is a standard Weiss Schwarz booster: nine cards per pack, sixteen packs per box, one Rare-or-better slot and one foil hit slot. Its sealed character is balanced rather than top-heavy — five Special Rares and five Over-Frame Rares of similar weight above a cheap box — and the modeled margin has been comfortably positive on both products.

The hit slot pays a foil Rare over half the time, a Super Rare a quarter, a Triple Rare or better about one pack in five and a Special Rare near 1 in 17. Feeling Warmth From Powder Snow, Rio Futaba (SP) leads, with Feeling Like Dancing, Nodoka Toyohama and Continuation of the Dream, Kaede Azusagawa (SP) close behind. Accumulating Memories, Mai Sakurajima (OFR) tops the Over-Frames.

Loose packs and the booster box are both priced, with the box modeling stronger. A chase tier of five similar-value cards pays out more evenly than a one-card set, so the probability of profiting should sit close to the margin. Over-Frame Rare has no slot of its own in the model, rates are community estimates, and signed or serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Live numbers below.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack +55% $3.00 $5.45 13%
Booster Box (16 packs) +56% $47.59 $87.28 66%

Pull-rate model

Rascal Does Not Dream Series packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotCommon50%
Rare slotUncommon30%
Rare slotRare20%
Hit slotRare (foil)55%
Hit slotSuper Rare25%
Hit slotTriple Rare (RRR)12%
Hit slotSpecial Rare6%
Hit slotSuper-Special2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in Rascal Does Not Dream Series?

The five Special Rares: Feeling Warmth From Powder Snow, Rio Futaba; Feeling Like Dancing, Nodoka Toyohama; Continuation of the Dream, Kaede Azusagawa; Form of the Continuing Dream, Shoko Makinohara; and Cherry Blossoms Carrying Sentiments, Tomoe Koga. Accumulating Memories, Mai Sakurajima (OFR) leads the Over-Frame tier.

How many packs are in a Rascal Does Not Dream Series booster box?

Sixteen nine-card packs, the standard Weiss Schwarz box. Loose packs and the box are both market-priced, and the live table gives each its own fee-adjusted margin and probability of profiting.

Are Rascal Does Not Dream Series pull rates official?

No. Bushiroad doesn't publish rates; the hit-slot odds are community estimates. Over-Frame Rare has no dedicated slot in the model, and signed or serial-numbered variants are excluded from the calculation.

What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Rascal Does Not Dream Series pays for itself?

About 66% after ~15% selling fees (69% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Rascal Does Not Dream Series pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $69.39 of cards after fees against its $47.59 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 29%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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