Right now: the best rip in Rurouni Kenshin is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $38.95 against $37.88 of expected pulls — a −17% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 27% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Rurouni Kenshin is a Weiss Schwarz set released 2025-05-30. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
9-card pack, 16 packs per box: most packs carry a Rare plus a foil, with RRR and rarer tiers landing about 1 in 8–10 packs. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −60% | $5.00 | $2.37 | 10% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | −17% | $38.95 | $37.88 | 27% |
Pull-rate model
Rurouni Kenshin packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Rurouni Kenshin pays for itself?
About 27% after ~15% selling fees (39% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Rurouni Kenshin pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $29.02 of cards after fees against its $38.95 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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