Amazing Defenders Yu-Gi-Oh! Deck Build Pack EV & Odds

Right now: the best rip in Amazing Defenders is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $36.49 against $120.32 of expected pulls — a +180% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 98% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Amazing Defenders (January 20, 2023) is a Yu-Gi-Oh! Deck Build Pack, not a core booster: five cards per pack, every one of them Rare or better, one foil per pack, 24 packs per 1st Edition box. Sealed has stayed cheap for a set with fifteen Collector's Rares, and it has recently modeled comfortably positive on both packs and the box.

The model is provisional: Konami publishes no ratios, and the community consensus is four Rares plus one foil slot per pack, modeled as a Super Rare 60% of the time, an Ultra Rare just over a quarter, a Collector's Rare about 1 in 10 packs, plus a sliver for a top tier this set lacks. Collector's Rares are the chase: Expurrely Noir, Ha-Re the Sword Mikanko and Rescue-ACE Turbulence lead.

Products are 1st Edition loose packs and the 24-pack 1st Edition box, and the box has been dramatically cheaper per pack and has recently modeled far better than loose packs. The live table below shows fee-adjusted margin and the odds each clears its cost. Treat the foil-slot percentages as a placeholder until better data exists; the all-Rare floor, at least, is a real feature of the format.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack [1st Ed] +7% $4.00 $5.01 21%
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) +180% $36.49 $120.32 98%

Pull-rate model

Amazing Defenders packs hold 5 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare #1Rare100%
Rare #2Rare100%
Rare #3Rare100%
Rare #4Rare100%
Foil slotSuper Rare60%
Foil slotUltra Rare27%
Foil slotCollector's Rare10%
Foil slotQCSR / Starlight3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How is an Amazing Defenders pack different from a core booster?

It's a Deck Build Pack: five cards instead of nine, and every card is Rare or better. The model assumes four Rares plus one foil slot per pack, with Collector's Rare as the realistic top pull. Boxes hold 24 packs.

What are the chase cards in Amazing Defenders?

The Collector's Rares: Expurrely Noir leads, followed by Ha-Re the Sword Mikanko, Rescue-ACE Turbulence, Ni-Ni the Mirror Mikanko and Isolde, Two Tales of the Noble Knights. Mikanko Reflection Rondo, Purrely and Expurrely Happiness round out the notable pulls.

Are Amazing Defenders pull rates official?

No, and this model is more provisional than most. Konami publishes nothing, and while one foil per five-card pack is the community consensus, the split between Super, Ultra and Collector's Rare is an estimate. Expect the numbers to move if better data surfaces.

What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Amazing Defenders pays for itself?

About 98% after ~15% selling fees (99% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Amazing Defenders pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $96.60 of cards after fees against its $36.49 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 69%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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