Amazing Defenders Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Amazing Defenders is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $36.44 against $123.90 of expected pulls — a +189% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 98% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Amazing Defenders is a Yu-Gi-Oh! set released 2023/01/20. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

Deck Build Pack: 5 cards per pack, every card Rare or better — modeled as 4 Rares plus one foil slot (Super Rare most of the time, Ultra or Collector's Rare otherwise, with a Quarter Century Secret or Starlight as the rare upgrade). PROVISIONAL: Konami doesn't publish ratios; the one-foil-per-pack structure is the community consensus. Boxes hold 24 packs.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack [1st Ed] +37% $3.21 $5.16 24%
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) +189% $36.44 $123.90 98%

Pull-rate model

Amazing Defenders packs hold 5 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare #1Rare100%
Rare #2Rare100%
Rare #3Rare100%
Rare #4Rare100%
Foil slotSuper Rare60%
Foil slotUltra Rare27%
Foil slotCollector's Rare10%
Foil slotQCSR / Starlight3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Amazing Defenders pays for itself?

About 98% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Amazing Defenders pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $99.41 of cards after fees against its $36.44 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 72%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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