Battle of Chaos Yu-Gi-Oh! Booster Box EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Battle of Chaos is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $66.33 against $62.71 of expected pulls — a −20% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 40% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Battle of Chaos (February 11, 2022) is a standard Yu-Gi-Oh! core booster: nine cards per pack, one Rare and one foil per pack, 24 packs per 1st Edition box, with five Starlight Rares as the top tier. Its chase list leans heavily on Dark Magician and Blue-Eyes cards, and sealed has settled into modest collector pricing with margins recently modeling negative.

The foil slot carries the EV. Community estimates give it a Super Rare 65% of the time, an Ultra Rare a bit over a quarter, a Secret Rare about 1 in 14 packs and a Starlight 1 in 100. The Dark Magicians Starlight leads, but the plain Ultra Rare Dark Magician is the oddity: an Ultra that outprices most of the set's Starlights.

Two products are listed: 1st Edition loose packs and the 24-pack 1st Edition box. The box is the cheaper route per pack and has recently modeled closer to break-even; the live table below gives the fee-adjusted margin and the odds each product clears its cost. Rates are community estimates, and with five Starlights sharing a 1% slot, the box's result depends on which foils turn up.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack [1st Ed] −49% $4.39 $2.61 4%
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) −20% $66.33 $62.71 40%

Pull-rate model

Battle of Chaos packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Foil hit slotSuper Rare65%
Foil hit slotUltra Rare27%
Foil hit slotSecret Rare7%
Foil hit slotStarlight / QC Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in Battle of Chaos?

The Dark Magicians Starlight Rare tops the list, followed by the Ultra Rare Dark Magician, then the Starlight versions of Illusion of Chaos, Dharc the Dark Charmer, Gloomy, Blue-Eyes Jet Dragon and Dinomorphia Therizia. Master of Chaos is the best of the remaining Ultras.

How many packs are in a Battle of Chaos booster box?

24 packs of nine cards, each with one Rare and one foil. By the model a box yields around six Ultra Rares and one or two Secret Rares, while a Starlight is a long shot in any single box.

Are Battle of Chaos pull rates official?

No. Konami doesn't publish ratios. The one-foil-per-pack structure is well established, but the split between Super, Ultra, Secret and Starlight is a community estimate, and Starlight frequency in particular is the number most likely to be off.

What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Battle of Chaos pays for itself?

About 40% after ~15% selling fees (42% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Battle of Chaos pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $33.30 of cards after fees against its $66.33 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 3%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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