Quarter Century Bonanza Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Quarter Century Bonanza is the Booster Pack at $8.73 against $10.55 of expected pulls — a +3% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 24% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Quarter Century Bonanza is a Yu-Gi-Oh! set released 2024/11/08. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

All-foil Rarity Collection-style set (RA03): 5 cards per pack, every card Super Rare or better, with Quarter Century Secret, Platinum Secret, Prismatic Collector's and Prismatic Ultimate variants as the chase. Pull rates are community estimates.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack +3% $8.73 $10.55 24%
Booster Box (24 packs) −9% $236.71 $253.16 32%

Pull-rate model

Quarter Century Bonanza packs hold 5 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Foil card #1Super Rare55%
Foil card #1Ultra Rare27%
Foil card #1Secret Rare12%
Foil card #1Collector's Rare3%
Foil card #1Quarter Century Secret Rare2.5%
Foil card #1Prismatic Ultimate / Platinum0.4%
Foil card #1Starlight Rare0.1%
Foil card #2Super Rare55%
Foil card #2Ultra Rare27%
Foil card #2Secret Rare12%
Foil card #2Collector's Rare3%
Foil card #2Quarter Century Secret Rare2.5%
Foil card #2Prismatic Ultimate / Platinum0.4%
Foil card #2Starlight Rare0.1%
Foil card #3Super Rare55%
Foil card #3Ultra Rare27%
Foil card #3Secret Rare12%
Foil card #3Collector's Rare3%
Foil card #3Quarter Century Secret Rare2.5%
Foil card #3Prismatic Ultimate / Platinum0.4%
Foil card #3Starlight Rare0.1%
Foil card #4Super Rare55%
Foil card #4Ultra Rare27%
Foil card #4Secret Rare12%
Foil card #4Collector's Rare3%
Foil card #4Quarter Century Secret Rare2.5%
Foil card #4Prismatic Ultimate / Platinum0.4%
Foil card #4Starlight Rare0.1%
Foil card #5Super Rare55%
Foil card #5Ultra Rare27%
Foil card #5Secret Rare12%
Foil card #5Collector's Rare3%
Foil card #5Quarter Century Secret Rare2.5%
Foil card #5Prismatic Ultimate / Platinum0.4%
Foil card #5Starlight Rare0.1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the odds a Booster Pack of Quarter Century Bonanza pays for itself?

About 24% after ~15% selling fees (26% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Quarter Century Bonanza pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $1.97 of cards after fees against its $8.73 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 18%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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