Right now: the best rip in Rise of the Duelist is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $74.20 against $78.75 of expected pulls — a −10% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 23% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Rise of the Duelist is a Yu-Gi-Oh! set released 2020/08/07. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Standard core booster: 9 cards per pack, 24 packs per box, about one foil (Super Rare or better) per pack with Ultras roughly 1 in 6, Secrets 1 in 12 and the top tier about one per case. Sealed products listed are the 1st Edition print run where TCGPlayer separates them. Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [1st Ed] | −61% | $7.22 | $3.28 | 9% |
| Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) | −10% | $74.20 | $78.75 | 23% |
Pull-rate model
Rise of the Duelist packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Foil hit slot | Super Rare | 65% |
| Foil hit slot | Ultra Rare | 27% |
| Foil hit slot | Secret Rare | 7% |
| Foil hit slot | Starlight / QC Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Rise of the Duelist pays for itself?
About 23% after ~15% selling fees (33% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Rise of the Duelist pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $53.99 of cards after fees against its $74.20 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 6%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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