Rise of the Duelist Yu-Gi-Oh! Booster Box EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Rise of the Duelist is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $77.92 against $78.38 of expected pulls — a −15% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 20% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Rise of the Duelist is a standard Yu-Gi-Oh! core booster from August 7, 2020: nine cards per pack, one foil hit, 24 packs per box, with five Starlight Rares over ten Secret Rares. Sealed listings here are the 1st Edition run. Several years on, its 1st Edition boxes carry the collector premium that older sealed product tends to attract, which pushes the rip margin down accordingly.

Each pack has a Rare slot and a foil slot: Super Rare about 65%, Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 4, Secret Rare near 1 in 14, Starlight or Quarter Century Secret around 1 in 100. Triple Tactics Talent is the Starlight that anchors the set, with Dogmatika Ecclesia, the Virtuous and D.D. Crow behind it; Titaniklad the Ash Dragon and Forbidden Droplet are the Secret Rares worth pulling.

Products are loose 1st Edition packs and the 24-pack 1st Edition booster box. The loose pack carries a heavier premium than the box does, so the per-pack cost is materially better by the box. Rates are community estimates, not published ones. Read the fee-adjusted margins in the live table below before deciding whether nostalgia is worth the price of entry.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack [1st Ed] −72% $9.99 $3.27 1%
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) −15% $77.92 $78.38 20%

Pull-rate model

Rise of the Duelist packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Foil hit slotSuper Rare65%
Foil hit slotUltra Rare27%
Foil hit slotSecret Rare7%
Foil hit slotStarlight / QC Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in a Rise of the Duelist booster box?

A Rise of the Duelist booster box holds 24 packs of nine cards. Each pack has one Rare slot and one foil slot, so a box yields about 24 foils, usually including a couple of Secret Rares and, less often, a single Starlight Rare.

What are the chase cards in Rise of the Duelist?

Triple Tactics Talent in Starlight Rare is the headline, with Dogmatika Ecclesia, the Virtuous, D.D. Crow, Gaia the Magical Knight of Dragons and Wynn the Wind Channeler completing the Starlight tier. Titaniklad the Ash Dragon, Forbidden Droplet and Fallen of Albaz are the top Secret Rares.

Are Rise of the Duelist pull rates official?

No. Konami does not publish core booster rates. The model uses community estimates: one foil per pack, Ultra Rares roughly 1 in 4, Secret Rares about 1 in 14 and a Starlight near 1 in 100 packs. They describe the average, not any single box.

What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Rise of the Duelist pays for itself?

About 20% after ~15% selling fees (28% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Rise of the Duelist pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $53.45 of cards after fees against its $77.92 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 6%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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