Lightning Overdrive Yu-Gi-Oh! Pull Rates & Pack EV

Right now: the best rip in Lightning Overdrive is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $41.58 against $54.40 of expected pulls — a +11% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 18% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Lightning Overdrive is a standard Yu-Gi-Oh! core booster from June 4, 2021: nine cards per pack, one foil hit per pack, 24 packs per box, with five Starlight Rares as the top tier and ten Secret Rares beneath them. Sealed listings here are the 1st Edition run. Several years on, it trades as an older core set whose value sits almost entirely in a handful of Starlights.

The model gives every pack a Rare slot and a foil slot that pays a Super Rare about two-thirds of the time, an Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 4, a Secret Rare about 1 in 14 and a Starlight or Quarter Century Secret near 1 in 100. Black Rose Dragon is the Starlight that carries the set, with Live Twin Ki-sikil Frost and Lyna the Light Charmer, Lustrous behind.

Two products exist: loose 1st Edition packs and the 24-pack 1st Edition booster box. The box spreads the Starlight lottery across enough packs to matter, while a single pack is mostly a Super Rare with a price tag. Rates are community estimates, not Konami figures, so treat the odds as approximate and read the live fee-adjusted margins in the table below.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack [1st Ed] −50% $3.88 $2.27 1%
Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) +11% $41.58 $54.40 18%

Pull-rate model

Lightning Overdrive packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotRare100%
Foil hit slotSuper Rare65%
Foil hit slotUltra Rare27%
Foil hit slotSecret Rare7%
Foil hit slotStarlight / QC Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in a Lightning Overdrive booster box?

A Lightning Overdrive booster box holds 24 packs of nine cards each. Every pack has a Rare slot and one foil hit slot, so a box yields roughly 24 foils, of which a small number will be Secret Rares and, occasionally, one Starlight.

What are the chase cards in Lightning Overdrive?

The five Starlight Rares are the chase, and Black Rose Dragon is far ahead of the rest. Live Twin Ki-sikil Frost, Lyna the Light Charmer, Lustrous and Book of Lunar Eclipse follow. Below the Starlights, the Ultra and Secret pool is inexpensive.

Are Lightning Overdrive pull rates official?

No. Konami does not publish pull rates for core boosters. The model uses community estimates: about one foil per pack, Ultra Rares roughly 1 in 4, Secret Rares near 1 in 14 and a Starlight around 1 in 100 packs. Treat them as ballpark figures.

What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Lightning Overdrive pays for itself?

About 18% after ~15% selling fees (22% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Lightning Overdrive pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $28.50 of cards after fees against its $41.58 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 10%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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