Plasma Storm Pull Rates & Pokémon Pack EV: Lugia-EX and ACE SPEC

Right now: the best rip in Plasma Storm is the Booster Pack at $610.90 against $29.62 of expected pulls — a −96% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Plasma Storm (February 6, 2013) brought Team Plasma to the Black & White series, and its 10-card pack keeps the era's layout: a reverse holo in every pack plus one rare slot that every hit replaces. As vintage sealed, loose packs trade at a steep collector premium, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market is the real signal.

The rare slot adds ACE SPEC Trainers at about 1 in 12 packs, alongside Pokémon-EX at roughly 1 in 9, full arts near 1 in 36 and Secret Rares around 1 in 72, all community estimates. Full-art Lugia-EX is the runaway chase, with the Secret Rare Charizard and Blastoise next and full-art Articuno-EX and Victini-EX behind. The regular Lugia-EX and full-art Colress lead the rest.

Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Plasma Storm; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing has a market price, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. The ACE SPEC cards (Dowsing Machine, Scramble Switch and Victory Piece) are frequent but cheap; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −96% $610.90 $29.62 1%

Pull-rate model

Plasma Storm packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Rare slotRare54.5%
Rare slotRare Holo22%
Rare slotACE SPEC8.3%
Rare slotPokémon-EX11%
Rare slotFull Art (Ultra)2.8%
Rare slotSecret Rare1.4%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in Plasma Storm?

Full-art Lugia-EX leads, alongside the Secret Rare Charizard and Blastoise and full-art Articuno-EX and Victini-EX. The regular Rare Holo EX Lugia-EX and full-art Colress and Cobalion-EX come next.

What is an ACE SPEC and how often does it appear in Plasma Storm?

ACE SPEC cards are powerful Trainers limited to one per deck, printed in the Rare ACE rarity. The model gives them about 8% of the rare slot, roughly 1 in 12 packs, split across Dowsing Machine, Scramble Switch and Victory Piece.

Are the Plasma Storm pull rates official?

No. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates, so the model uses community estimates for the Team Plasma era. Treat the odds as reasonable approximations, not print-sheet facts.

What are the odds a Booster Pack of Plasma Storm pays for itself?

About 1% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Plasma Storm pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $7.87 of cards after fees against its $610.90 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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