Dragons Exalted Pokémon Pull Rates & Booster Pack EV

Right now: the best rip in Dragons Exalted is the Booster Pack at $362.20 against $24.98 of expected pulls — a −94% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Dragons Exalted (August 15, 2012) is the Black & White-series set built around Dragon-type Pokémon, and its 10-card pack follows the era's layout: a reverse holo in every pack plus one rare slot that every hit replaces. As vintage sealed, loose packs carry a hefty collector premium, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market is the real signal.

Community estimates put a Pokémon-EX at roughly 1 in 9 packs, a full art near 1 in 36 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 72. The Secret Rare Rayquaza is the set's single biggest card by a wide margin, ahead of full-art Giratina-EX, Mew-EX and Ho-Oh-EX. Full-art Rayquaza-EX, the Secret Rare Krookodile, Reuniclus and Serperior and the regular Mew-EX sit behind them.

Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Dragons Exalted; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing has a market price, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. One secret carries an outsized share of the Secret Rare tier, so averages flatter a typical pack; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −94% $362.20 $24.98 1%

Pull-rate model

Dragons Exalted packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Rare slotRare62.8%
Rare slotRare Holo22%
Rare slotPokémon-EX11%
Rare slotFull Art (Ultra)2.8%
Rare slotSecret Rare1.4%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in Dragons Exalted?

The Secret Rare Rayquaza leads, followed by full-art Giratina-EX, Mew-EX and Ho-Oh-EX and full-art Rayquaza-EX. The Secret Rare Krookodile, Reuniclus and Serperior and the regular Rare Holo EX Mew-EX round out the top.

How rare is the secret Rayquaza in Dragons Exalted?

The Secret Rare tier gets about 1.4% of the rare slot in the model, roughly 1 in 72 packs, shared across four secrets. That puts a specific secret like Rayquaza at a few hundred packs on average.

Is a Dragons Exalted booster box tracked?

No. Only loose 10-card Booster Packs have a tracked market price; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing is priced, so the table models single packs.

What are the odds a Booster Pack of Dragons Exalted pays for itself?

About 1% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Dragons Exalted pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $4.64 of cards after fees against its $362.20 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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