Reign of Jafar Pull Rates, Pack EV & Product Guide

Right now: the best rip in Reign of Jafar is the Booster Box at $145.51 against $99.93 of expected pulls — a −42% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 19% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Reign of Jafar released May 30, 2025 — an Aladdin-villain-flavored set and the eighth main Lorcana expansion. Sealed comes as boosters, 24-pack boxes and the eight-pack Illumineer's Trove. Packs are the standard 12 cards: one guaranteed rare-or-better, one foil.

Community pull-rate estimates give the guaranteed slot a 2% chance of an Enchanted — about one every 50 packs, or one every two boxes on average — and an 8% shot at a Legendary. That top-heavy distribution means most packs pay out a rare worth almost nothing, and the set's entire expected value hinges on cards you'll open a handful of times per case. Reign of Jafar also launched into a hotter sealed market than the 2024 sets did, so packs have carried a higher sticker for essentially identical odds.

That combination — same lottery, higher entry fee — is what keeps this set's margins underwater. Run the live table below before buying; if you just want the deck staples, singles get you there for a fraction of a box.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −54% $7.73 $4.16 2%
Booster Box −42% $145.51 $99.93 19%
Illumineer's Trove −42% $48.84 $33.31 13%

Pull-rate model

Reign of Jafar packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare-or-better slotRare60%
Rare-or-better slotSuper Rare30%
Rare-or-better slotLegendary8%
Rare-or-better slotEnchanted2%
Foil slotCommon (foil)65%
Foil slotUncommon (foil)22%
Foil slotRare (foil)8%
Foil slotSuper Rare (foil)4%
Foil slotLegendary (foil)1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in a Reign of Jafar booster box?

24 packs, each with 12 cards, one guaranteed rare-or-better and one foil.

What sealed products exist for Reign of Jafar?

Booster packs, 24-pack booster boxes, and the eight-pack Illumineer's Trove.

Are Reign of Jafar pull rates confirmed by Ravensburger?

No. All Lorcana pull rates are community estimates; Ravensburger has never published official odds.

What are the odds a Booster Box of Reign of Jafar pays for itself?

About 19% after ~15% selling fees (25% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Reign of Jafar pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box returns $21.51 of cards after fees against its $145.51 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 9%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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