Right now: the best rip in Shimmering Skies is the Booster Pack at $5.44 against $2.76 of expected pulls — a −57% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Shimmering Skies hit shelves August 9, 2024 — the fifth main Lorcana set and the first full release after the game's supply finally caught up with demand. No allocation drama, no scalped shelves, just packs sitting at close to list price. Each 12-card pack carries one guaranteed rare-or-better and one foil, same as every Lorcana set.
The rare slot is where the EV lives or dies. Community estimates put the split at 60% Rare, 30% Super Rare, 8% Legendary and 2% Enchanted — roughly two Legendaries per 24-pack box and an Enchanted about once every two boxes. Since bulk rares in a well-supplied set are worth pennies, nearly all of a pack's expected value concentrates in those top two tiers.
That makes Shimmering Skies a swingy rip: most packs return a small fraction of their cost, and one Enchanted flips a whole box's math. The live numbers below tell you exactly how far today's sealed prices sit from break-even — check them before you buy, because for this set the gap has been consistently wide.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −57% | $5.44 | $2.76 |
| Booster Box | −61% | $143.16 | $66.32 |
Pull-rate model
Shimmering Skies packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare-or-better slot | Rare | 60% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Super Rare | 30% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Legendary | 8% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Enchanted | 2% |
| Foil slot | Common (foil) | 65% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon (foil) | 22% |
| Foil slot | Rare (foil) | 8% |
| Foil slot | Super Rare (foil) | 4% |
| Foil slot | Legendary (foil) | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Are Shimmering Skies pull rates official?
No. Ravensburger doesn't publish pull rates for Lorcana; the odds shown here are community estimates built from recorded box openings.
How rare is an Enchanted in Shimmering Skies?
Roughly 1 in 50 packs by community estimates — about one every two 24-pack booster boxes on average.
What products can you buy for Shimmering Skies?
Single booster packs and 24-pack booster boxes are the sealed products tracked on this page.
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