Right now: the best rip in Ursula's Return is the Booster Pack at $5.19 against $2.33 of expected pulls — a −62% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Ursula's Return, released May 17, 2024, capped the villain storyline that ran through Lorcana's first year, with the sea witch front and center. The pack structure is standard for the game: 12 cards, one rare-or-better guaranteed, one foil of any rarity.
As with every Lorcana set, Enchanteds carry the chase. Community estimates put them at about 1 in 50 packs, with Legendaries at roughly 1 in 12 — call it two Legendaries and half an Enchanted per 24-pack box on average. Everything below those tiers is functionally bulk once a set has been out this long, which is why the pack EV concentrates so heavily at the top.
Sealed comes in two forms here: loose boosters and the 24-pack box. Ursula's Return sits in the mid-priced band of Lorcana sealed — not the collector premium of The First Chapter, not the settled floor of Into the Inklands. The live table shows today's EV against today's prices; if the margin reads deeply negative, which it usually does for this set, buy the singles you actually want and let someone else fund the Enchanted lottery.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −62% | $5.19 | $2.33 |
| Booster Box | −62% | $126.28 | $55.82 |
Pull-rate model
Ursula's Return packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare-or-better slot | Rare | 60% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Super Rare | 30% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Legendary | 8% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Enchanted | 2% |
| Foil slot | Common (foil) | 65% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon (foil) | 22% |
| Foil slot | Rare (foil) | 8% |
| Foil slot | Super Rare (foil) | 4% |
| Foil slot | Legendary (foil) | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many cards are in an Ursula's Return booster pack?
12 cards, including one guaranteed rare-or-better and one foil of any rarity.
What's the top pull in Ursula's Return?
The Enchanted rarity is the chase tier. Community estimates put Enchanteds at about 2% of packs, with Legendaries at roughly 8%.
Are these pull rates official?
No — Ravensburger publishes no odds. All rates here are community estimates and carry real uncertainty.
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