Right now: the best rip in Rise of the Floodborn is the Booster Pack at $5.52 against $2.78 of expected pulls — a −57% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Rise of the Floodborn, out November 17, 2023, was Lorcana's second set and the last one released while the game's shortage era was still in full swing. Supply improved mid-run, which is why its sealed carries some out-of-print premium today — noticeable, but nowhere near The First Chapter's collector pricing.
Packs are the standard Lorcana dozen: one guaranteed rare-or-better, one foil. The community-estimated odds haven't changed across the game's life — 2% Enchanted and 8% Legendary in the guaranteed slot, so about one Enchanted every two 24-pack boxes. The foil slot is a common or uncommon 87% of the time. As usual, the Enchanted tier carries most of the chase value, with early-set staples adding a little meat to the Legendary hits.
The premium on boxes and especially Illumineer's Troves means you're paying yesterday's scarcity for today's odds. The live table below shows the current gap between EV and sealed cost across all three products; expect it to be wide, and check whether the singles you want cost less than a single box.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −57% | $5.52 | $2.78 |
| Booster Box | −66% | $167.69 | $66.60 |
| Illumineer's Trove | −78% | $85.74 | $22.20 |
Pull-rate model
Rise of the Floodborn packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare-or-better slot | Rare | 60% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Super Rare | 30% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Legendary | 8% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Enchanted | 2% |
| Foil slot | Common (foil) | 65% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon (foil) | 22% |
| Foil slot | Rare (foil) | 8% |
| Foil slot | Super Rare (foil) | 4% |
| Foil slot | Legendary (foil) | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What sealed products exist for Rise of the Floodborn?
Booster packs, 24-pack booster boxes, and the eight-pack Illumineer's Trove.
Does Rise of the Floodborn sealed carry a premium?
Yes, a modest one. As an early out-of-print set it trades above current-set prices, though far below The First Chapter.
What are the odds of an Enchanted pull?
Community estimates put Enchanteds at about 2% per pack — around one every two booster boxes. No official rates exist.
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