Right now: the best rip in Aetherdrift is the Bundle at $39.19 against $27.17 of expected pulls — a −41% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Aetherdrift (February 14, 2025) is Magic's plane-hopping death race, and the market's verdict was quick: weak singles demand pushed sealed prices to some of the lowest we track for a modern set. Cheap packs sound like a bargain. They're cheap because the cards inside are cheap.
The structure is the usual Play Booster — about 14 cards, one guaranteed rare or mythic with the mythic landing roughly 1 in 7 packs, and one foil slot where rare-or-better shows up about 1 in 8. Community estimates, as ever. Borderless showcase variants are the nominal chase tier, but even the top end is thin compared with neighboring sets.
The one genuinely interesting number here is the Bundle: because sealed collapsed, its per-pack cost sits unusually close to expected value — among the smallest losses in our whole MTG tracker. Still a loss. The live tables below show exactly how small, updated throughout the day.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −43% | $4.49 | $3.02 |
| Collector Booster Pack | −90% | $25.03 | $3.02 |
| Bundle | −41% | $39.19 | $27.17 |
Pull-rate model
Aetherdrift packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 85% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 15% |
| Foil slot | Common Foil | 62% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon Foil | 25% |
| Foil slot | Rare Foil | 10% |
| Foil slot | Mythic Foil | 3% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Why are Aetherdrift packs so cheap?
Singles demand for the set is weak, and sealed prices fell to match. Low pack prices reflect low expected card value, not a market inefficiency.
What is the chase tier in Aetherdrift?
Borderless showcase variants of the set's mythics. The set's top end is thinner than most neighboring Standard releases.
Are the Aetherdrift pull rates official?
No — the rare-or-mythic and foil slot rates shown are community estimates, and variant treatments aren't individually modeled.
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