Right now: the best rip in Tarkir: Dragonstorm is the Booster Pack at $5.92 against $3.56 of expected pulls — a −49% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Tarkir: Dragonstorm (April 11, 2025) brought Magic back to its fan-favorite dragon plane, with the five clans and a pile of new dragons aimed squarely at Commander tables. It's a well-liked set — and, unusually for modern Magic, its packs are cheap enough that the EV gap is one of the narrower ones in our tracker.
That's the story here: nothing about the slot math is special. You get about 14 cards, one guaranteed rare or mythic with a mythic roughly 1 in 7 packs, and one foil slot where rare-or-better hits about 1 in 8 — all community estimates. What moves the needle is a low pack price meeting steady dragon demand.
It's still negative EV, because almost everything is at retail. But if you're ripping for fun, a set where the average pack claws back most of its cost hurts a lot less than the alternatives. The live tables below show today's exact spread across packs, Collector Boosters and the Bundle.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −49% | $5.92 | $3.56 |
| Collector Booster Pack | −93% | $41.85 | $3.56 |
| Bundle | −69% | $87.67 | $32.06 |
Pull-rate model
Tarkir: Dragonstorm packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 85% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 15% |
| Foil slot | Common Foil | 62% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon Foil | 25% |
| Foil slot | Rare Foil | 10% |
| Foil slot | Mythic Foil | 3% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs come in a Tarkir: Dragonstorm Bundle?
Nine Play Boosters, plus the usual bundle extras. The calculator compares the Bundle's per-pack cost against single packs and Collector Boosters.
What drives value in Tarkir: Dragonstorm packs?
Dragon mythics and their borderless treatments, backed by steady Commander demand. Most of the top end sits in variants that aren't part of the base slot model.
Are these pull rates confirmed by Wizards?
No. They're community estimates for the standard Play Booster structure — one rare-or-mythic slot and one foil slot per pack.
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