MTG Foundations Pack EV & Pull Rates — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Foundations is the Booster Pack at $5.43 against $2.57 of expected pulls — a −60% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Foundations, released November 15, 2024, is Wizards' evergreen starter set — designed to stay Standard-legal for years and stuffed with reprinted staples rather than a fresh mechanical theme. That design brief matters for pack math: reprints keep singles prices low, so the average Play Booster returns far less than it costs.

Each 14-card pack carries one guaranteed rare or mythic (mythics show up in that slot roughly 1 in 7 packs) plus one foil of any rarity. A rare-or-better foil lands about once every 8 packs. Those are community estimates, not official odds, and they don't model every Showcase or Borderless variant — which is where most of this set's real value hides.

The honest read: Foundations exists to sell playable Magic cheaply, and it does. That's great for new players buying singles and rough for anyone ripping packs hoping to come out ahead. The live tables below show exactly how wide the gap is right now between pack price and expected value.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −60% $5.43 $2.57
Collector Booster Pack −97% $81.22 $2.57
Bundle −82% $109.56 $23.11

Pull-rate model

Foundations packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare85%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic15%
Foil slotCommon Foil62%
Foil slotUncommon Foil25%
Foil slotRare Foil10%
Foil slotMythic Foil3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many cards are in a Foundations Play Booster?

About 14 cards, including one guaranteed rare-or-mythic slot and one foil slot that can be any rarity. Mythics replace the rare roughly 15% of the time.

What Foundations products does this page track?

Play Booster packs, Collector Booster packs, and the 9-pack Bundle. Collector Boosters are listed with live prices, but their very different slot structure isn't modeled separately.

Are these Foundations pull rates official?

No. Wizards of the Coast doesn't publish complete odds, so the rates here are community estimates based on the standard Play Booster structure.

🎴 Rip a Foundations pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →