Right now: the best rip in Dominaria United is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $183.50 against $92.02 of expected pulls — a −57% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 2% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Dominaria United (September 9, 2022) is a Standard set sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were discontinued in 2024, so supply is fixed. Sealed pricing here is a bet on a single card, and the live margin has sat deeply negative.
That card is Sheoldred, the Apocalypse. It holds the top four spots on the price list in regular, Showcase, Phyrexian-language and textured-foil printings, with nothing else close. A mythic fills the rare slot about one pack in 7.4, and Sheoldred is one mythic listing among dozens, so a box averages five mythics and no guarantee of that one. Braids, Arisen Nightmare and Plaza of Heroes trail behind.
Only loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked. The textured-foil Sheoldred comes from Collector Boosters, which, like Set Boosters, have different contents and aren't modeled, so this page's EV reflects what a Draft Booster can actually deliver. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation. Whether the box discount closes any of the gap is a live question; the table below has the answer.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −69% | $7.11 | $2.56 | 1% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −57% | $183.50 | $92.02 | 2% |
Pull-rate model
Dominaria United packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Dominaria United booster box?
A Draft Booster Box contains 36 packs of 15 cards. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were sold in their own boxes with different contents, and this page models only the Draft Booster.
What is the chase card in Dominaria United?
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse, by a wide margin. Its regular and alternate-art printings compete for the same rare-or-mythic slot; the textured-foil version is a Collector Booster pull. Braids, Arisen Nightmare and Plaza of Heroes are distant runners-up.
What are the odds of pulling Sheoldred from a Dominaria United pack?
A mythic takes the rare slot in roughly one pack in 7.4, and Sheoldred is one mythic among dozens of mythic listings, so the per-pack odds are low and a 36-pack box doesn't guarantee one. The live table prices that into the EV.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Dominaria United pays for itself?
About 2% after ~15% selling fees (4% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Dominaria United pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $61.73 of cards after fees against its $183.50 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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