Streets of New Capenna MTG Booster EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Streets of New Capenna is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $141.86 against $103.17 of expected pulls — a −38% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Streets of New Capenna (April 29, 2022) is a Standard set sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired in 2024, so supply is fixed. Sealed has stayed cheap, which keeps the rip margin negative but not brutal.

The price list is led by Gilded Foil versions of the five family leaders (Raffine, Scheming Seer, Ziatora, the Incinerator, Jetmir, Nexus of Revels, Lord Xander, the Collector and Falco Spara, Pactweaver), a Collector Booster treatment. In a Draft Booster the value is the borderless lands Jetmir's Garden and Raffine's Tower and the regular family mythics, which arrive about one rare slot in 7.4.

Loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked; Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, so the Gilded Foil prices are a distraction here. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation, with card odds spread across the rarity counts. A cheap entry price does more for the margin than any single card can, and the live table below shows how much.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Draft Booster Pack −51% $4.96 $2.87 15%
Draft Booster Box (36 packs) −38% $141.86 $103.17 1%

Pull-rate model

Streets of New Capenna packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare86.5%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic13.5%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)No foil (bulk)67%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Common Foil21%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Uncommon Foil8.5%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Rare Foil3%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Mythic Foil0.5%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in a Streets of New Capenna booster box?

A Draft Booster Box holds 36 packs of 15 cards. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters shipped in separate boxes with different contents and aren't part of this page's model.

What are the chase cards in Streets of New Capenna?

The family-leader mythics Raffine, Scheming Seer, Ziatora, the Incinerator, Jetmir, Nexus of Revels, Lord Xander, the Collector and Falco Spara, Pactweaver, plus the borderless lands Jetmir's Garden and Raffine's Tower. The Gilded Foil versions price highest but come from Collector Boosters.

Are Streets of New Capenna pull rates official?

The slot structure and the rare, mythic and foil odds follow the published Draft Booster collation for the era rather than sampling. Card-by-card odds are a model spread across the set's rarity counts, so they describe the average pack, not any specific one.

What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Streets of New Capenna pays for itself?

About 1% after ~15% selling fees (6% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Streets of New Capenna pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $86.29 of cards after fees against its $141.86 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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