Right now: the best rip in The Brothers' War is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $225.41 against $95.16 of expected pulls — a −64% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
The Brothers' War, the Standard-legal Magic set released November 18, 2022, shipped in classic Draft Boosters: 15 cards with one rare-or-mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, plus a foil that displaces a common in roughly a third of packs. Draft Boosters were retired when Play Boosters arrived in 2024, so supply is fixed and sealed pricing has drifted well above what the cards inside pay back.
The model is the published Draft Booster collation. The rare slot upgrades to a mythic about one pack in 7.4, and the foil slot is mostly common or uncommon foil; a rare foil lands near 1 in 33 packs and a mythic foil around 1 in 200. Portal to Phyrexia is the card that matters, with Myrel, Shield of Argive, Awaken the Woods and Cityscape Leveler well behind.
Two products are tracked: the loose Draft Booster and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, which matters because an 'SEA Exclusive' Construct token and a run of extended-art mythics top the price list, and extended art is a Collector Booster treatment. Expect deeply negative margins on both products; the live table below shows how deep.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −70% | $7.45 | $2.64 | 4% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −64% | $225.41 | $95.16 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
The Brothers' War packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a The Brothers' War Draft Booster Box?
36 Draft Boosters of 15 cards each: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were sold too, but they have different contents and aren't modeled here.
What are the chase cards in The Brothers' War?
Portal to Phyrexia leads by a wide margin, followed by Myrel, Shield of Argive, Awaken the Woods and Cityscape Leveler among the mythics, and Diabolic Intent among the rares. The priciest listings are extended-art versions, which come from Collector Boosters rather than Draft Boosters.
Are The Brothers' War pull rates official?
Mostly. The model follows the published Draft Booster collation: a mythic in about one rare slot in 7.4 and a foil in roughly one pack in three. How that foil splits across rarities is an estimate rather than a published figure.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of The Brothers' War pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the The Brothers' War pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $75.43 of cards after fees against its $225.41 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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