Right now: the best rip in Modern Horizons 3 is the Booster Pack at $9.92 against $5.78 of expected pulls — a −50% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Modern Horizons 3 (June 14, 2024) is the strongest EV-per-pack set in our Magic tracker, and it isn't close. Direct-to-Modern sets skip Standard and print at a power level that tournament players actually pay for: this one delivered the allied fetch land reprints plus format-warping mythics like Ocelot Pride and Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury.
Here's the catch — Wizards knows what it's selling. MH3 Play Boosters carry a hefty premium over a normal Standard set, so even with the best expected value in the game, the margin on a pack is still solidly negative. You're paying up front for the deeper card pool.
Structure is standard Play Booster: roughly 14 cards, a guaranteed rare or mythic (mythic about 1 in 7 packs), and a foil slot where a rare-or-better lands about 1 in 8. Community estimates, as always. If any MTG set tempts you to rip anyway, it's this one — the live gap between price and EV is below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −50% | $9.92 | $5.78 |
| Collector Booster Pack | −94% | $76.03 | $5.78 |
| Bundle | −67% | $133.28 | $52.04 |
Pull-rate model
Modern Horizons 3 packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 85% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 15% |
| Foil slot | Common Foil | 62% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon Foil | 25% |
| Foil slot | Rare Foil | 10% |
| Foil slot | Mythic Foil | 3% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Why are Modern Horizons 3 packs more expensive than Standard sets?
MH3 is a direct-to-Modern set with a higher power level and premium reprints, and Wizards prices the packs accordingly. Higher EV per pack, but also a higher buy-in.
What are the chase cards in Modern Horizons 3?
Modern staples drive the value: the allied fetch land reprints and heavily played mythics such as Ocelot Pride and Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury, plus their premium foil and borderless versions.
Are the pull rates on this page official?
No — they're community estimates for the Play Booster's rare-or-mythic slot and foil slot. Special variant treatments aren't fully modeled.
🎴 Rip a Modern Horizons 3 pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →