Secrets of Strixhaven Pack EV & Pull Rate Reality

Right now: the best rip in Secrets of Strixhaven is the Bundle at $38.94 against $20.30 of expected pulls — a −56% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Secrets of Strixhaven (April 24, 2026) heads back to Magic's magical university and revives the set gimmick people actually remember from the first visit: the Mystical Archive, a bonus sheet of iconic spells in ornate frames that turns up alongside the normal slots. The Archive — plus borderless showcase variants — is the chase tier, full stop.

That's also the problem. In our tracker this set currently shows the weakest expected value per pack of any Magic set we cover, because the base rares are shallow and the value concentrates almost entirely in low-frequency Archive and showcase pulls. The guaranteed slots — one rare or mythic (mythic roughly 1 in 7 packs) and one foil, rare-or-better about 1 in 8 — mostly return inexpensive cards. Rates are community estimates.

When a set's EV depends this heavily on bonus-sheet lottery tickets, singles buying wins by a wide margin. The live tables below show today's gap across packs, Collector Boosters and the Bundle.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −61% $4.88 $2.26
Collector Booster Pack −96% $46.22 $2.26
Bundle −56% $38.94 $20.30

Pull-rate model

Secrets of Strixhaven packs hold 14 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare85%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic15%
Foil slotCommon Foil62%
Foil slotUncommon Foil25%
Foil slotRare Foil10%
Foil slotMythic Foil3%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What is the Mystical Archive in Secrets of Strixhaven?

A bonus sheet of iconic instants and sorceries in special frames, appearing alongside the standard pack slots. Archive cards are the set's main chase tier with borderless showcase variants.

How is a Secrets of Strixhaven Play Booster structured?

About 14 cards with one guaranteed rare-or-mythic slot (mythic roughly 15% of the time), one foil of any rarity, plus bonus-sheet content outside the base model.

Are these pull rates official Wizards numbers?

No — they're community estimates. Bonus-sheet and variant odds in particular are not published or individually modeled here.

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