Right now: the best rip in The Lost Caverns of Ixalan is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $266.81 against $147.91 of expected pulls — a −53% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
The Lost Caverns of Ixalan, a Standard Magic set released November 17, 2023, was among the last sets to ship in 15-card Draft Boosters before Play Boosters replaced them in 2024: one rare-or-mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Supply is fixed, and sealed trades at a premium over what the packs contain.
The model is the published Draft Booster collation: mythic about one rare slot in 7.4, rare foil near 1 in 33 packs, mythic foil around 1 in 200. The set has one chase, Cavern of Souls, which leads the mythic pool in its regular printing; a stack of Borderless variants tops the price list at figures that say more about scarcity than draft packs. Roaming Throne is the best rare.
Two products are tracked: the loose Draft Booster and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled. Margins are negative on both, but less brutally so than most draft-era sets: a modest pack price and a genuinely expensive regular Cavern of Souls keep the gap narrower than usual. The live table below has the current figures.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −53% | $7.48 | $4.11 | 9% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −53% | $266.81 | $147.91 | 1% |
Pull-rate model
The Lost Caverns of Ixalan packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Draft Booster Box?
36 Draft Boosters of 15 cards each. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were also sold for the set, but they have different contents and aren't modeled here; the table covers the loose Draft Booster and the 36-pack box only.
What are the chase cards in The Lost Caverns of Ixalan?
Cavern of Souls, overwhelmingly. Its Borderless variants occupy the top of the price list, and even the regular printing is worth more than any other card in the set. Roaming Throne is the only rare that comes close.
Are The Lost Caverns of Ixalan pull rates official?
The structure is: the model follows the published Draft Booster collation, with a mythic in about one rare slot in 7.4 and a foil in roughly one pack in three. How that foil splits across rarities is an estimate, not a published figure.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of The Lost Caverns of Ixalan pays for itself?
About 1% after ~15% selling fees (3% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the The Lost Caverns of Ixalan pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $119.89 of cards after fees against its $266.81 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
🎴 Rip a The Lost Caverns of Ixalan pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →