Right now: the best rip in Fusion Strike is the Booster Pack at $19.51 against $5.98 of expected pulls — a −74% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Fusion Strike, released November 12, 2021, is the biggest Sword & Shield set by card count, and that size is the first thing you should know before opening any. The chase is real — the Gengar VMAX and Espeon VMAX alternate arts are two of the era's most wanted cards, with Mew VMAX behind them — but it's buried in a very deep pool.
The estimated odds match the era's template: about 1 in 9 packs upgrades the hit slot, an alternate or full art lands roughly 1 in 12 packs, golds near 1 in 100. The catch is that hitting the alt-art tier rarely means hitting the Gengar. With this many cards in the set, most alt pulls are the cheap ones, and most rare slots are bulk.
So Fusion Strike EV is a barbell: a couple of monsters, a mountain of filler. Sealed prices — packs, Elite Trainer Boxes, 36-pack booster boxes, Build & Battle — have climbed anyway. The live tables below show how wide the gap currently is.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −74% | $19.51 | $5.98 |
| Elite Trainer Box | −89% | $356.60 | $47.84 |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −81% | $985.77 | $215.28 |
| Build & Battle Box | −80% | $100.71 | $23.92 |
Pull-rate model
Fusion Strike packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo | 66% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo V | 27% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo VMAX | 7% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 89% |
| Hit slot | Full / Alt Art | 8% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Fusion Strike?
The Gengar VMAX and Espeon VMAX alternate arts lead the set, with Mew VMAX and the gold secrets behind them. Everything else trails those cards by a wide margin.
How big is Fusion Strike?
It's the largest Sword & Shield expansion by card count, which dilutes the odds of pulling any specific chase card even when you hit the rare alt-art tier.
Which Fusion Strike products does this page track?
Single packs, the 8-pack Elite Trainer Box, the 36-pack booster box and the 4-pack Build & Battle Box, each priced live and compared against per-pack expected value.
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