Right now: the best rip in Emerging Powers is the Booster Pack at $104.04 against $4.61 of expected pulls — a −96% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Emerging Powers (August 31, 2011) is the second Black & White-series set and uses the era's 10-card pack: a reverse holo in every pack and one rare slot that every hit replaces. As vintage sealed, loose packs trade at a collector premium, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market is the real signal, and here it is unusually thin.
This is the leanest rare slot in the era. There's no Pokémon-EX tier and no Secret Rare, so the community-estimated ceiling is a full art at about 1 in 36 packs, with holos landing roughly 1 pack in 3. The two full arts are the whole chase: Tornadus and Thundurus, priced close together. Below them, the Rare Unfezant and holo Zoroark and Thundurus barely move the needle.
Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Emerging Powers; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing has a market price, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. With no secret rare to lift the average, expect the gap between pack price and EV to be wide; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −96% | $104.04 | $4.61 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Emerging Powers packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 64.2% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 33% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 2.8% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Emerging Powers?
The full-art Tornadus and Thundurus, the set's only two Rare Ultra cards. Behind them the Rare Unfezant and the holo Zoroark, Thundurus and Gothitelle are minor pulls.
Does Emerging Powers have secret rares or Pokémon-EX?
Neither. Pokémon-EX returned in Next Destinies, and Emerging Powers has no Secret Rare, so the full arts at about 1 in 36 packs are the top of the rare slot.
Are the Emerging Powers pull rates official?
No. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates, so the model uses community estimates for the Black & White era: a holo about 1 pack in 3 and a full art about 1 in 36. Treat them as reasonable approximations, not print-sheet facts.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Emerging Powers pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Emerging Powers pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $3.20 of cards after fees against its $104.04 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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