Right now: the best rip in Noble Victories is the Booster Pack at $168.99 against $12.79 of expected pulls — a −94% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Noble Victories (November 16, 2011) is the third Black & White-series set and ships in the era's 10-card pack: a reverse holo in every pack plus one rare slot that every hit replaces. As vintage sealed, loose packs carry a hefty collector premium, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market is the real signal, and this set's full arts are its strongest yet.
Pokémon-EX hadn't returned yet, so the rare slot runs on the early-era template: community estimates put a holo at about 1 pack in 3, a full art near 1 in 36 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 72. The full-art N Supporter is the headline, with full-art Victini close behind and the Secret Rare Meowth third. The full-art Cobalion, Virizion and Terrakion trio rounds out the top tier.
Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Noble Victories; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing has a market price, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. Because value sits almost entirely in six top-tier cards, a typical pack returns a fraction of its price; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −94% | $168.99 | $12.79 | 1% |
Pull-rate model
Noble Victories packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62.8% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 33% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 2.8% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.4% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Noble Victories?
The full-art N Supporter leads, followed by full-art Victini and the Secret Rare Meowth. Full-art Cobalion, Virizion and Terrakion complete the set's top tier, with the Rare Chandelure and holo Victini and Hydreigon well behind.
How rare is full-art N in Noble Victories?
N sits in the full-art Rare Ultra tier, which the model gives about 2.8% of the rare slot, roughly 1 in 36 packs, shared across five full arts. That works out to well over a hundred packs per N on average.
Are the Noble Victories pull rates official?
No. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates, so the odds here are community estimates for the Black & White era: a holo about 1 in 3, a full art about 1 in 36 and a Secret Rare about 1 in 72.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Noble Victories pays for itself?
About 1% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Noble Victories pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $5.72 of cards after fees against its $168.99 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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