Right now: the best rip in Everfest is the Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] at $45.75 against $178.58 of expected pulls — a +232% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 100% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Everfest (February 4, 2022) is a Flesh and Blood booster set in the standard format: fifteen cards per pack, 24 packs per box, a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot and a cold-foil slot. Only the 1st Edition print run is listed on TCGPlayer, so that is what's modeled. Boxes have still priced low enough to model comfortably positive; loose packs have looked thinner.
The Majestic slot pays Majestic 93% of the time, Marvel about 1 in 25, Legendary about 1 in 40 and Fabled about 1 in 200, though Everfest's priced list has no Marvel tier, so the practical chases are three Legendaries and one Fabled. Grandeur of Valahai, the Fabled, tops the list; Stalagmite, Bastion of Isenloft and Arcanite Skullcap are the Legendaries, and extended-art Aether Wildfire and Pulverize lead the Majestics.
Products are 1st Edition loose packs and the 1st Edition 24-pack box. With a thin top end, the EV is spread across Majestics and cold foils rather than a single jackpot, which makes the box row steadier than usual and the pack row less exciting. Rates are community estimates on a shared Flesh and Blood template. Live fee-adjusted numbers are in the table below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [1st Ed] | +22% | $5.18 | $7.44 | 35% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] | +232% | $45.75 | $178.58 | 100% |
Pull-rate model
Everfest packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Majestic slot | Majestic | 93% |
| Majestic slot | Marvel | 4% |
| Majestic slot | Legendary | 2.5% |
| Majestic slot | Fabled | 0.5% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Common | 80% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Rare | 18% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Majestic | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Everfest?
Grandeur of Valahai, the Fabled, sits on top. The Legendaries are Stalagmite, Bastion of Isenloft and Arcanite Skullcap, and the extended-art Majestics Aether Wildfire, Pulverize and Winds of Eternity fill out the upper list. No Marvels are priced for this set.
Is Everfest Unlimited modeled?
No. TCGPlayer lists only the 1st Edition print run for Everfest, so both the loose-pack and booster-box rows are 1st Edition prices, and Unlimited sealed isn't priced in the table at all.
How many packs are in an Everfest booster box?
24 packs of 15 cards. By community-estimated rates a box averages a bit over half a Legendary and sees Grandeur of Valahai roughly one box in eight, with most of the value arriving as Majestics and cold foils.
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] of Everfest pays for itself?
About 100% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Everfest pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] returns $138.86 of cards after fees against its $45.75 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 96%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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