Right now: the best rip in Everfest is the Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] at $43.98 against $180.61 of expected pulls — a +249% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 100% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Everfest is a Flesh and Blood set released 2022-02-04. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Booster pack with a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot (Legendary, Marvel and Fabled are the roughly 1-in-30-and-rarer chases) and a cold-foil slot; 24 packs per box. Only the 1st Edition print run is listed on TCGPlayer.Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [1st Ed] | +23% | $5.19 | $7.53 | 37% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] | +249% | $43.98 | $180.61 | 100% |
Pull-rate model
Everfest packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Majestic slot | Majestic | 93% |
| Majestic slot | Marvel | 4% |
| Majestic slot | Legendary | 2.5% |
| Majestic slot | Fabled | 0.5% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Common | 80% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Rare | 18% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Majestic | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] of Everfest pays for itself?
About 100% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Everfest pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) [1st Ed] returns $141.07 of cards after fees against its $43.98 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 98%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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