Right now: the best rip in Tales of Aria is the Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] at $39.53 against $114.64 of expected pulls — a +147% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 100% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Tales of Aria is a Flesh and Blood set released 2021-09-24. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Booster pack with a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot (Legendary, Marvel and Fabled are the roughly 1-in-30-and-rarer chases) and a cold-foil slot; 24 packs per box. The Unlimited print run is modeled; 1st Edition sealed trades on a collector premium.Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [Unlimited] | +50% | $2.71 | $4.78 | 43% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] | +147% | $39.53 | $114.64 | 100% |
Pull-rate model
Tales of Aria packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Majestic slot | Majestic | 93% |
| Majestic slot | Marvel | 4% |
| Majestic slot | Legendary | 2.5% |
| Majestic slot | Fabled | 0.5% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Common | 80% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Rare | 18% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Majestic | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] of Tales of Aria pays for itself?
About 100% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Tales of Aria pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] returns $89.51 of cards after fees against its $39.53 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 68%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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