Right now: the best rip in Monarch is the Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] at $38.54 against $208.07 of expected pulls — a +359% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 100% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Monarch (April 30, 2021) is an early Flesh and Blood booster set in the standard format: fifteen-card packs, 24 per box, a rare slot, a Majestic-or-better slot and a cold-foil slot. The Unlimited print run is what's modeled here; 1st Edition sealed trades on a collector premium that has nothing to do with pack contents. Unlimited boxes, by contrast, have priced cheaply.
The Majestic slot pays Majestic 93% of the time, Marvel about 1 in 25, Legendary about 1 in 40 and Fabled about 1 in 200; Monarch's priced list has no Marvel tier, so Legendaries and the Fabled are the ceiling. Valiant Dynamo leads the Legendaries, with Carrion Husk and Phantasmal Footsteps behind, and Great Library of Solana is the Fabled. Extended-art Lumina Ascension and Herald of Erudition top the Majestics.
The products are Unlimited loose packs and the Unlimited 24-pack box. The box has modeled strongly positive because its sealed price sits far below the sum of a deep singles list, more than three hundred priced cards, while the pack row is thinner. Rates are community estimates on a shared Flesh and Blood template, and 1st Edition is not modeled. The live fee-adjusted numbers are below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [Unlimited] | +58% | $4.67 | $8.67 | 43% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] | +359% | $38.54 | $208.07 | 100% |
Pull-rate model
Monarch packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Majestic slot | Majestic | 93% |
| Majestic slot | Marvel | 4% |
| Majestic slot | Legendary | 2.5% |
| Majestic slot | Fabled | 0.5% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Common | 80% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Rare | 18% |
| Cold-foil slot | Cold-Foil Majestic | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Is Monarch 1st Edition or Unlimited modeled?
Unlimited. The pack and box rows use Unlimited sealed prices, because 1st Edition Monarch sealed carries a collector premium unrelated to what's inside the packs. If you're weighing 1st Edition, this page's EV isn't the right comparison.
What are the chase cards in Monarch?
Valiant Dynamo (Legendary) and Great Library of Solana (Fabled) lead, followed by the Legendaries Carrion Husk and Phantasmal Footsteps and the extended-art Majestics Lumina Ascension, Herald of Erudition and Mark of the Beast, plus alternate-art Galaxxi Black. No Marvels are priced for Monarch.
How many packs are in a Monarch booster box?
24 packs of 15 cards each. At community-estimated rates that's a Legendary in a bit under half of boxes and Great Library of Solana around one box in eight, with the rare slot, Majestics and cold foils carrying the base EV.
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] of Monarch pays for itself?
About 100% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Monarch pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) [Unlimited] returns $162.42 of cards after fees against its $38.54 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 100%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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