Attack of the Vine! Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Attack of the Vine! is the Booster Box at $208.16 against $130.31 of expected pulls — a −47% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 14% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Attack of the Vine! is Disney Lorcana's thirteenth set, released July 24, 2026. The pack follows the standard Lorcana blueprint: 12 cards with one rare-or-better slot and one foil slot that can be any rarity.

As in every Lorcana set, the economics are barbell-shaped: Enchanted cards carry most of the chase value, and the odds of one in any given pack are long — community estimates put them deep in the single digits per box, not per pack. Everything below the Enchanted tier settles quickly once supply arrives.

This is a fresh release, so sealed carries a launch premium and singles are at their most volatile. Our prices refresh every two hours; check the live table below rather than launch-week chatter.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack −49% $9.09 $5.43 2%
Booster Box −47% $208.16 $130.31 14%
Illumineer's Trove −59% $89.64 $43.44 13%

Pull-rate model

Attack of the Vine! packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare-or-better slotRare60%
Rare-or-better slotSuper Rare30%
Rare-or-better slotLegendary8%
Rare-or-better slotEnchanted2%
Foil slotCommon (foil)65%
Foil slotUncommon (foil)22%
Foil slotRare (foil)8%
Foil slotSuper Rare (foil)4%
Foil slotLegendary (foil)1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What drives the value in Attack of the Vine! packs?

Enchanted cards, as in every Lorcana set — they're the rare foil-alternate-art tier and account for most of a box's expected value. Legendary and Super Rare singles contribute far less once supply normalizes.

Are Attack of the Vine! pull rates official?

No — Ravensburger doesn't publish pull rates. Our table uses community estimates gathered from box-opening data, which are approximate, especially this early in the set's life.

Should I buy packs, a box, or the Illumineer's Trove?

Compare the per-pack EV and margin for each product in the table above — the calculator prices all three live. Historically the Trove's accessories make it a fan product rather than a value product, but the numbers move.

What are the odds a Booster Box of Attack of the Vine! pays for itself?

About 14% after ~15% selling fees (18% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Attack of the Vine! pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box returns $32.34 of cards after fees against its $208.16 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 4%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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