Right now: the best rip in The First Chapter is the Booster Pack at $13.91 against $6.45 of expected pulls — a −61% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
The First Chapter is where Lorcana started — August 18, 2023, a launch so undersupplied that packs vanished from shelves for months and sealed product built a collector premium it has never given back. That premium is the whole story of this page: the cards inside are genuinely strong, led by the Enchanted Elsa, Spirit of Winter, but the price of admission is set by collectors, not rippers.
The pack itself is standard: 12 cards, one guaranteed rare-or-better, one foil. Community estimates put Enchanteds at roughly 1 in 50 packs, which means even with the set's healthy singles prices, a first-print box is odds-on to contain zero copies of the cards that justify its cost. Legendaries land about twice per 24 packs and carry real value here, but not enough to close the gap.
Our calculator records market prices as-is, so the EV figures below reflect that out-of-print reality: strong card pool, weak EV per dollar. Buy The First Chapter sealed as a shelf piece if you want one. As a rip, it's one of the clearest 'buy singles instead' calls in Lorcana.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −61% | $13.91 | $6.45 |
| Booster Box | −72% | $477.92 | $154.73 |
| Illumineer's Trove | −85% | $298.34 | $51.58 |
Pull-rate model
The First Chapter packs hold 12 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare-or-better slot | Rare | 60% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Super Rare | 30% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Legendary | 8% |
| Rare-or-better slot | Enchanted | 2% |
| Foil slot | Common (foil) | 65% |
| Foil slot | Uncommon (foil) | 22% |
| Foil slot | Rare (foil) | 8% |
| Foil slot | Super Rare (foil) | 4% |
| Foil slot | Legendary (foil) | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Is The First Chapter still in print?
No. The first print run is long out of print, and sealed trades at a collector premium well above current-set pricing.
What is the biggest chase card in The First Chapter?
Elsa, Spirit of Winter in its Enchanted treatment is the set's signature pull, alongside the rest of the Enchanted lineup.
How many packs are in a First Chapter booster box?
24 packs of 12 cards. Each pack guarantees one rare-or-better plus one foil of any rarity.
🎴 Rip a The First Chapter pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →