Right now: the best rip in Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $247.50 against $125.03 of expected pulls — a −57% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty (February 18, 2022) is a Standard set sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in roughly a third of packs. Draft Boosters were retired in 2024, so supply is fixed, and sealed prices have climbed well above what a Draft Booster's contents support.
The Draft Booster chase is a land: Boseiju, Who Endures, priced high in regular, extended-art and borderless form, with Otawara, Soaring City behind it and The Wandering Emperor and Kodama of the West Tree as the mythics that matter. The rare pool is large, over 180 rare listings, so mythics stay near one rare slot in 7.4 and any specific rare is a long shot.
The Neon Ink Hidetsugu, Devouring Chaos variants at the top of the price list, and the foil-etched Showcase mythics, come from Collector Boosters, which, like Set Boosters, aren't modeled here. Loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation. The gap between a hyped sealed price and Draft Booster EV is what the live table below measures.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −68% | $9.13 | $3.47 | 6% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −57% | $247.50 | $125.03 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty booster box?
A Draft Booster Box has 36 packs of 15 cards. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters shipped in separate boxes with different contents, and the model on this page covers Draft Boosters only.
What are the chase cards in Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty?
From a Draft Booster: Boseiju, Who Endures, Otawara, Soaring City, The Wandering Emperor and Kodama of the West Tree. The Neon Ink Hidetsugu, Devouring Chaos printings top the overall price list but are Collector Booster pulls, not Draft Booster ones.
Are Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty pull rates official?
The rare-or-mythic and foil-slot rates follow the published Draft Booster collation, not sampling. Individual card odds are spread evenly across the set's rarity counts, which is a modeling assumption rather than a published figure.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $101.54 of cards after fees against its $247.50 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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