Right now: the best rip in Innistrad: Midnight Hunt is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $166.83 against $72.99 of expected pulls — a −63% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt (September 24, 2021) opened the two-set Innistrad return, sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired in 2024, so supply is fixed. Sealed pricing has held above what the cards inside support, and the live margin reflects that.
The Meathook Massacre is the chase, in regular and extended-art form, with Arlinn, the Pack's Hope the only other mythic of note. The rest of the value is a rare dual-land cycle: Haunted Ridge, Shipwreck Marsh and Deserted Beach, each also printed in borderless art. Mythics fill the rare slot about one pack in 7.4, and a foil rare appears in roughly 1 in 33 packs.
Loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are the tracked products. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, and the extended-art Meathook comes from the latter. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation. A rare-heavy value spread means a box reliably returns some of its cost; how much, after fees, is what the live table below reports.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −72% | $6.18 | $2.03 | 2% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −63% | $166.83 | $72.99 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in an Innistrad: Midnight Hunt booster box?
A Draft Booster Box has 36 packs of 15 cards each. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were sold in separate boxes with different contents and aren't modeled on this page.
What are the chase cards in Innistrad: Midnight Hunt?
The Meathook Massacre leads comfortably, with its extended-art printing priced above the regular one. Below it sit Arlinn, the Pack's Hope and the rare dual lands Haunted Ridge, Shipwreck Marsh and Deserted Beach, whose borderless versions carry a small premium.
Are Innistrad: Midnight Hunt pull rates official?
The rare-or-mythic and foil odds follow the published Draft Booster collation rather than sampling; card-by-card odds are then spread across the set's rarity counts. Treat them as an expected-value model, not a promise about any single pack.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Innistrad: Midnight Hunt pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Innistrad: Midnight Hunt pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $59.19 of cards after fees against its $166.83 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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