Right now: the best rip in Innistrad: Crimson Vow is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $156.74 against $82.34 of expected pulls — a −55% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Innistrad: Crimson Vow (November 19, 2021) is the second Innistrad set of late 2021, sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about a third of packs. Draft Boosters ended in 2024, so supply is fixed, but with a flat price list that hasn't turned it into a collector darling.
The top end is flat. Toxrill, the Corrosive leads, with Olivia, Crimson Bride, Hallowed Haunting and Sorin the Mirthless close behind: all mythics, all priced within a narrow band, none of them a jackpot. A Slug Token even cracks the top eight. Mythics take roughly one rare slot in 7.4; foil rares land about 1 in 33 packs and foil mythics about 1 in 200.
Loose packs and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, and extended-art premiums come from the latter. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation. With no single card to chase, EV is driven by the depth of the rare pool, and the live table below shows how far that falls short of the sealed price.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −65% | $5.57 | $2.29 | 8% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −55% | $156.74 | $82.34 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Innistrad: Crimson Vow packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs come in an Innistrad: Crimson Vow booster box?
A Draft Booster Box holds 36 packs of 15 cards. Set Booster and Collector Booster boxes exist with different contents, and this page models only the Draft Booster pack.
What are the chase cards in Innistrad: Crimson Vow?
Toxrill, the Corrosive tops the list, followed by Olivia, Crimson Bride, Hallowed Haunting and Sorin the Mirthless. All are mythics, and the gaps between them are small. This is a set without a runaway chase card, which is exactly why its EV is unexciting.
Are Innistrad: Crimson Vow pull rates official?
The slot structure and the rare, mythic and foil rates follow the published Draft Booster collation for the era, not community sampling. Card-level odds are derived from the set's rarity counts, so they describe the average pack rather than any specific one.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Innistrad: Crimson Vow pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Innistrad: Crimson Vow pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $68.66 of cards after fees against its $156.74 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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