Right now: the best rip in Strixhaven: School of Mages is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $187.47 against $61.14 of expected pulls — a −72% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Strixhaven: School of Mages (April 23, 2021) is a Standard set sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, a foil replacing a common about one pack in three, plus a Mystical Archive card in every pack. Draft Boosters ended in 2024, so supply is fixed. The main-set price list is thin; the rip margin has modeled deeply negative.
The main set's top end is modest: Crackle with Power and Blex, Vexing Pest lead at mythic, Wandering Archaic is the top rare, and Beledros Witherbloom, Professor Onyx and Shadrix Silverquill fill out the list, with extended-art and borderless versions priced above the plain ones. Mythics take about one rare slot in 7.4, and a foil rare shows up in roughly 1 in 33 packs.
Loose packs, the 36-pack Draft Booster Box and the 10-pack Bundle are tracked; the Bundle has historically been the worst of the three. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled. The Mystical Archive slot isn't modeled separately either, so the live EV undercounts whatever that card is worth, a real caveat for a set where that slot was the selling point. Numbers below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −79% | $7.04 | $1.70 | 3% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −72% | $187.47 | $61.14 | 0% |
| Bundle (10 Draft Boosters) | −85% | $98.50 | $16.98 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Strixhaven: School of Mages packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Strixhaven booster box?
A Draft Booster Box has 36 packs of 15 cards, and the Bundle holds 10 Draft Boosters. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were sold separately with different contents and aren't modeled here.
Does the Strixhaven model include Mystical Archive cards?
Not as a separate slot. Every Draft Booster contains a Mystical Archive card, but the model on this page covers only the main-set rare-or-mythic and foil slots, so the live EV leaves that slot's value on the table.
What are the chase cards in Strixhaven: School of Mages?
Within the main set: Crackle with Power, Blex, Vexing Pest, Beledros Witherbloom, Professor Onyx and Shadrix Silverquill at mythic, with Wandering Archaic and Sedgemoor Witch the top rares. Extended-art and borderless printings carry the premium over the plain versions.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Strixhaven: School of Mages pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Strixhaven: School of Mages pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $51.08 of cards after fees against its $187.47 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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